What markets are included in the Fortaleza EC vs Mirassol prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Fortaleza EC vs Mirassol prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Fortaleza EC vs Mirassol

Fortaleza EC vs Mirassol prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-08-24 21:30

Fortaleza EC

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

49%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Mirassol

Away

Prediction Summary

34%

26%

39%

Under 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

53%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Fortaleza EC (Home)

Goals scored / match1.21

Goals conceded / match1.21

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate32%

Mirassol (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match1.16

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Fortaleza EC

LWWWW

Mirassol

DWLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 74%

37% +1.5 32%

11% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

32% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Fortaleza EC averages 1.21 goals scored at home, while Mirassol averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

34%

Draw

26%

Away Win

39%

Over 2.5

49%

BTTS Yes

53%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Fortaleza EC 0 - 1 Mirassol Away

Apr 2025 Fortaleza EC(A) 1 - 1 Mirassol Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Fortaleza EC won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Fortaleza EC — unbeaten run (home)4

Fortaleza EC — scoring streak (home)4

Mirassol — winless run (away)0

Mirassol — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Fortaleza EC Win (1)34%

Draw (X)26%

Mirassol Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 74%

37% +1.5 32%

11% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 26%

63% -1.5 68%

89% -2.5 95%

95% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Fortaleza EC vs Mirassol — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Fortaleza EC — scored (home)1.21

Fortaleza EC — conceded (home)1.21

Mirassol — scored (away)1.11

Mirassol — conceded (away)1.16

Model expected combined goals2.62

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%

No47%

Rate per Team

Fortaleza EC — BTTS matches (home)32%

Mirassol — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)39.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.5100%

Under 5.50%

Over 6.598%

Under 6.52%

Over 7.592%

Under 7.58%

Over 8.574%

Under 8.526%

Over 9.564%

Under 9.536%

Over 10.553%

Under 10.547%

Expected total corners (blended average)11.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Fortaleza EC (home)

Corners for6.7

Corners against4.6

Mirassol (away)

Corners for4.7

Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Fortaleza EC

12 11 11 7 4

Mirassol

12 18 12 11 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Fortaleza EC (home)

For3.1

Mirassol (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Fortaleza EC — total shots (home)15.3

Mirassol — total shots (away)13.0

Shots on Target

Fortaleza EC — on target (home)4.8

Mirassol — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Fortaleza EC

Inside the box7.63

Outside the box5.26

Mirassol

Inside the box8.61

Outside the box5.16

Player Shots Fortaleza EC

A. Bareiro

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target19%

Breno Lopes

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target9%

J. Herrera

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target11%

T. Pochettino

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target19%

Deyverson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Mirassol

Reinaldo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target21%

Renato Marques

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Gabriel

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target12%

Cristian

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

Negueba

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Fortaleza EC xG (home)1.19

Mirassol xG (away)1.49

Average Possession

44.18% Possession 50.89%

Team Comparison Fortaleza EC vs Mirassol

79.24% Pass accuracy 83.97%

354.39 Passes per match 422.24

0.01 Goals prevented -0.08

14.18 Fouls committed 12.18

3.63 Goalkeeper saves 3.46

2.06 Offsides 1.84

17.79 Tackles per match 15.13

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Fortaleza EC vs Mirassol prediction analysis

Review Fortaleza EC vs Mirassol with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights