Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Fortaleza EC vs RB Bragantino

Fortaleza EC vs RB Bragantino prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-07-26 21:30
Fortaleza EC
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
41%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
RB Bragantino
Away

Prediction Summary

1
34%
X
28%
2
38%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Fortaleza EC (Home)

Goals scored / match1.21
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate32%

RB Bragantino (Away)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.74
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Fortaleza EC
LWWWW
RB Bragantino
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 79%
37% +1.5 16%
11% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
32% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Fortaleza EC averages 1.21 goals scored at home, while RB Bragantino averages 0.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
34%
Draw
28%
Away Win
38%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Fortaleza EC(A) 1 - 0 RB Bragantino Home
Jul 2025 Fortaleza EC 3 - 1 RB Bragantino Home
Aug 2024 Fortaleza EC(A) 2 - 1 RB Bragantino Home
Apr 2024 Fortaleza EC 1 - 1 RB Bragantino Draw
Nov 2023 Fortaleza EC(A) 2 - 1 RB Bragantino Home

In the last 5 meetings, Fortaleza EC won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Fortaleza EC — unbeaten run (home)4
Fortaleza EC — scoring streak (home)4
RB Bragantino — winless run (away)2
RB Bragantino — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Fortaleza EC Win (1)34%
Draw (X)28%
RB Bragantino Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 79%
37% +1.5 16%
11% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 21%
63% -1.5 84%
89% -2.5 100%
95% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

Fortaleza EC vs RB Bragantino — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Fortaleza EC — scored (home)1.21
Fortaleza EC — conceded (home)1.21
RB Bragantino — scored (away)0.95
RB Bragantino — conceded (away)1.74
Model expected combined goals2.32

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Fortaleza EC — BTTS matches (home)32%
RB Bragantino — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.592%
Under 6.58%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.576%
Under 8.524%
Over 9.569%
Under 9.531%
Over 10.553%
Under 10.547%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Fortaleza EC (home)

Corners for6.7
Corners against4.6

RB Bragantino (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Fortaleza EC
12 11 11 7 4
RB Bragantino
10 10 11 5 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Fortaleza EC (home)

For3.1

RB Bragantino (away)

For3.3

Shots per Game

Fortaleza EC — total shots (home)15.3
RB Bragantino — total shots (away)9.6

Shots on Target

Fortaleza EC — on target (home)4.8
RB Bragantino — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Fortaleza EC

Inside the box7.63
Outside the box5.26

RB Bragantino

Inside the box7.58
Outside the box4.79

Player Shots Fortaleza EC

A. Bareiro
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target19%
Breno Lopes
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Herrera
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Pochettino
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target19%
Deyverson
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots RB Bragantino

Eduardo Sasha
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
Jhon Jhon
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target9%
Lucas Barbosa
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target12%
Henry Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target6%
I. Laquintana
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Fortaleza EC xG (home)1.19
RB Bragantino xG (away)1.16

Average Possession

44.18% Possession 47.82%

Team Comparison Fortaleza EC vs RB Bragantino

79.24% Pass accuracy 81.68%
354.39 Passes per match 390.63
0.01 Goals prevented 0.01
14.18 Fouls committed 14.11
3.63 Goalkeeper saves 3.53
2.06 Offsides 1.46
17.79 Tackles per match 15.47

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Fortaleza EC vs RB Bragantino prediction analysis

Review Fortaleza EC vs RB Bragantino with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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