What markets are included in the Fortaleza EC vs Sao Paulo prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Fortaleza EC vs Sao Paulo prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Fortaleza EC vs Sao Paulo

Fortaleza EC vs Sao Paulo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-10-02 22:30

Fortaleza EC

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

42%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Sao Paulo

Away

Prediction Summary

41%

28%

31%

Under 2.5

58%

BTTS No

52%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Fortaleza EC (Home)

Goals scored / match1.21

Goals conceded / match1.21

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate32%

Sao Paulo (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84

Goals conceded / match1.58

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Fortaleza EC

LWWWW

Sao Paulo

LWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 53%

37% +1.5 32%

11% +2.5 0%

5% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

32% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Fortaleza EC averages 1.21 goals scored at home, while Sao Paulo averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

41%

Draw

28%

Away Win

31%

Over 2.5

42%

BTTS Yes

48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Fortaleza EC 0 - 2 Sao Paulo Away

May 2025 Fortaleza EC(A) 0 - 0 Sao Paulo Draw

Jul 2024 Fortaleza EC 1 - 0 Sao Paulo Home

Apr 2024 Fortaleza EC(A) 2 - 1 Sao Paulo Home

Sep 2023 Fortaleza EC(A) 2 - 1 Sao Paulo Home

In the last 5 meetings, Fortaleza EC won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Fortaleza EC — unbeaten run (home)4

Fortaleza EC — scoring streak (home)4

Sao Paulo — winless run (away)3

Sao Paulo — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Fortaleza EC Win (1)41%

Draw (X)28%

Sao Paulo Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 53%

37% +1.5 32%

11% +2.5 0%

5% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 47%

63% -1.5 68%

89% -2.5 100%

95% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Fortaleza EC vs Sao Paulo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Fortaleza EC — scored (home)1.21

Fortaleza EC — conceded (home)1.21

Sao Paulo — scored (away)0.84

Sao Paulo — conceded (away)1.58

Model expected combined goals2.35

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%

No52%

Rate per Team

Fortaleza EC — BTTS matches (home)32%

Sao Paulo — BTTS matches (away)37%

Combined (simple average)34.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.598%

Under 5.52%

Over 6.595%

Under 6.55%

Over 7.587%

Under 7.513%

Over 8.576%

Under 8.524%

Over 9.566%

Under 9.534%

Over 10.553%

Under 10.547%

Expected total corners (blended average)11.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Fortaleza EC (home)

Corners for6.7

Corners against4.6

Sao Paulo (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Fortaleza EC

12 11 11 7 4

Sao Paulo

9 11 7 13 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Fortaleza EC (home)

For3.1

Sao Paulo (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Fortaleza EC — total shots (home)15.3

Sao Paulo — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Fortaleza EC — on target (home)4.8

Sao Paulo — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Fortaleza EC

Inside the box7.63

Outside the box5.26

Sao Paulo

Inside the box7.11

Outside the box4.74

Player Shots Fortaleza EC

A. Bareiro

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target19%

Breno Lopes

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target9%

J. Herrera

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target11%

T. Pochettino

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target19%

Deyverson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Sao Paulo

Luciano

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target19%

G. Tapia

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target15%

J. Dinenno

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target14%

Ferreira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target4%

André Silva

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Fortaleza EC xG (home)1.19

Sao Paulo xG (away)1.15

Average Possession

44.18% Possession 52.13%

Team Comparison Fortaleza EC vs Sao Paulo

79.24% Pass accuracy 83.71%

354.39 Passes per match 438.63

0.01 Goals prevented 0.21

14.18 Fouls committed 14.24

3.63 Goalkeeper saves 3.21

2.06 Offsides 1.47

17.79 Tackles per match 17.21

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Fortaleza EC vs Sao Paulo prediction analysis

Review Fortaleza EC vs Sao Paulo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights