Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Cali

Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Cali prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Primera A 2025-02-09 23:20
Fortaleza FC
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
32%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Deportivo Cali
Away

Prediction Summary

1
42%
X
30%
2
27%
Under 2.5
68%
BTTS No
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Fortaleza FC (Home)

Goals scored / match1.09
Goals conceded / match0.87
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate35%

Deportivo Cali (Away)

Goals scored / match0.85
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Fortaleza FC
LLLWL
Deportivo Cali
DLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

70% +0.5 45%
30% +1.5 20%
4% +2.5 15%
4% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.

Fortaleza FC averages 1.09 goals scored at home, while Deportivo Cali averages 0.85 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
42%
Draw
30%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS Yes
39%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jul 2025 Fortaleza FC(A) 1 - 1 Deportivo Cali Draw
Feb 2025 Fortaleza FC 1 - 0 Deportivo Cali Home

In the last 2 meetings, Fortaleza FC won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Fortaleza FC — unbeaten run (home)0
Fortaleza FC — scoring streak (home)1
Deportivo Cali — winless run (away)4
Deportivo Cali — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Fortaleza FC Win (1)42%
Draw (X)30%
Deportivo Cali Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

70% +0.5 45%
30% +1.5 20%
4% +2.5 15%
4% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

30% -0.5 55%
70% -1.5 80%
96% -2.5 85%
96% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Cali — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Fortaleza FC — scored (home)1.09
Fortaleza FC — conceded (home)0.87
Deportivo Cali — scored (away)0.85
Deportivo Cali — conceded (away)1.2
Model expected combined goals2

Both Teams To Score

Yes39%
No61%

Rate per Team

Fortaleza FC — BTTS matches (home)35%
Deportivo Cali — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)35%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.596%
Under 6.54%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Fortaleza FC (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against5.0

Deportivo Cali (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Fortaleza FC
6 11 11 12 8
Deportivo Cali
5 8 9 16 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.598%
Under 2.52%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Fortaleza FC (home)

For2.9

Deportivo Cali (away)

For3.0

Shots per Game

Fortaleza FC — total shots (home)12.4
Deportivo Cali — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Fortaleza FC — on target (home)4.1
Deportivo Cali — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Fortaleza FC

Inside the box5.83
Outside the box6.5

Deportivo Cali

Inside the box6.69
Outside the box4.79

Player Shots Fortaleza FC

K. Salazar
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target18%
S. Valencia
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target9%
C. Lucumi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Sanchez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Deportivo Cali

J. Martinez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target36%
E. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Estupinan
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Hurtado
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
J. Barrera
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Fortaleza FC xG (home)1.3
Deportivo Cali xG (away)1.11

Average Possession

52.2% Possession 51.1%

Team Comparison Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Cali

80.26% Pass accuracy 78%
381.35 Passes per match 351.97
0 Goals prevented 0
10.85 Fouls committed 13.64
2.57 Goalkeeper saves 2.56
1.89 Offsides 1.97
11.02 Tackles per match 14.03

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Cali prediction analysis

Review Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Cali with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top