Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Pasto

Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Pasto prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Primera A 2025-10-24 23:00
Fortaleza FC
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
31%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Deportivo Pasto
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
30%
2
21%
Under 2.5
69%
BTTS No
64%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Fortaleza FC (Home)

Goals scored / match1.09
Goals conceded / match0.87
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate35%

Deportivo Pasto (Away)

Goals scored / match0.55
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Fortaleza FC
LLLWL
Deportivo Pasto
WLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

70% +0.5 45%
30% +1.5 10%
4% +2.5 0%
4% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 31%. Model confidence is Medium.

Fortaleza FC averages 1.09 goals scored at home, while Deportivo Pasto averages 0.55 goals scored away.

Model Strength
69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
30%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
31%
BTTS Yes
36%

Head-to-Head last 2

Oct 2025 Fortaleza FC 2 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Home
May 2025 Fortaleza FC(A) 0 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Away

In the last 2 meetings, Fortaleza FC won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Fortaleza FC — unbeaten run (home)0
Fortaleza FC — scoring streak (home)1
Deportivo Pasto — winless run (away)17
Deportivo Pasto — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Fortaleza FC Win (1)50%
Draw (X)30%
Deportivo Pasto Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

70% +0.5 45%
30% +1.5 10%
4% +2.5 0%
4% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

30% -0.5 55%
70% -1.5 90%
96% -2.5 100%
96% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Pasto — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Fortaleza FC — scored (home)1.09
Fortaleza FC — conceded (home)0.87
Deportivo Pasto — scored (away)0.55
Deportivo Pasto — conceded (away)1.35
Model expected combined goals1.94

Both Teams To Score

Yes36%
No64%

Rate per Team

Fortaleza FC — BTTS matches (home)35%
Deportivo Pasto — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)37.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.596%
Under 5.54%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.563%
Under 7.537%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Fortaleza FC (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against5.0

Deportivo Pasto (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Fortaleza FC
6 11 11 12 8
Deportivo Pasto
7 16 11 5 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.5100%
Under 2.50%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Fortaleza FC (home)

For2.9

Deportivo Pasto (away)

For3.7

Shots per Game

Fortaleza FC — total shots (home)12.4
Deportivo Pasto — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Fortaleza FC — on target (home)4.1
Deportivo Pasto — on target (away)3.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Fortaleza FC

Inside the box5.83
Outside the box6.5

Deportivo Pasto

Inside the box5.88
Outside the box5.6

Player Shots Fortaleza FC

K. Salazar
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target18%
S. Valencia
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target9%
C. Lucumi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Sanchez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Deportivo Pasto

Y. Valois
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target56%
F. Boné
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%
G. Torres
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target11%
D. Camacho
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Rivas
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Fortaleza FC xG (home)1.3
Deportivo Pasto xG (away)0.98

Average Possession

52.2% Possession 43.55%

Team Comparison Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Pasto

80.26% Pass accuracy 78.88%
381.35 Passes per match 317.15
0 Goals prevented 0
10.85 Fouls committed 13.58
2.57 Goalkeeper saves 2.55
1.89 Offsides 1.58
11.02 Tackles per match 12.18

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Pasto prediction analysis

Review Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Pasto with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top