Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Fortaleza FC vs Internacional de Bogota

Fortaleza FC vs Internacional de Bogota prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-05-10 22:10
Fortaleza FC
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
36%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Internacional de Bogota
Away

Prediction Summary

1
45%
X
29%
2
26%
Under 2.5
64%
BTTS No
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Fortaleza FC (Home)

Goals scored / match1.09
Goals conceded / match0.87
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate35%

Internacional de Bogota (Away)

Goals scored / match0.6
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate55%

Team Form last 5 matches

Fortaleza FC
LLLWL
Internacional de Bogota
WLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

70% +0.5 55%
30% +1.5 5%
4% +2.5 0%
4% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 55%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 36%. Model confidence is Medium.

Fortaleza FC averages 1.09 goals scored at home, while Internacional de Bogota averages 0.6 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
45%
Draw
29%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS Yes
42%

Head-to-Head last 4

Oct 2025 Fortaleza FC(A) 1 - 0 Internacional de Bogota Home
Sep 2025 Fortaleza FC 1 - 0 Internacional de Bogota Home
May 2025 Fortaleza FC 4 - 0 Internacional de Bogota Home
Mar 2025 Fortaleza FC(A) 1 - 1 Internacional de Bogota Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Fortaleza FC won 3, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Fortaleza FC — unbeaten run (home)0
Fortaleza FC — scoring streak (home)1
Internacional de Bogota — winless run (away)20
Internacional de Bogota — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Fortaleza FC Win (1)45%
Draw (X)29%
Internacional de Bogota Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

70% +0.5 55%
30% +1.5 5%
4% +2.5 0%
4% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

30% -0.5 45%
70% -1.5 95%
96% -2.5 100%
96% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Fortaleza FC vs Internacional de Bogota — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Fortaleza FC — scored (home)1.09
Fortaleza FC — conceded (home)0.87
Internacional de Bogota — scored (away)0.6
Internacional de Bogota — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.13

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%
No58%

Rate per Team

Fortaleza FC — BTTS matches (home)35%
Internacional de Bogota — BTTS matches (away)55%
Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.586%
Under 5.514%
Over 6.581%
Under 6.519%
Over 7.563%
Under 7.537%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.551%
Under 9.549%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Fortaleza FC (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against5.0

Internacional de Bogota (away)

Corners for3.6
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Fortaleza FC
6 11 11 12 8
Internacional de Bogota
6 11 4 7 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Fortaleza FC (home)

For2.9

Internacional de Bogota (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Fortaleza FC — total shots (home)12.4
Internacional de Bogota — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Fortaleza FC — on target (home)4.1
Internacional de Bogota — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Fortaleza FC

Inside the box5.83
Outside the box6.5

Internacional de Bogota

Inside the box5.6
Outside the box5.23

Player Shots Fortaleza FC

K. Salazar
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target18%
S. Valencia
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target9%
C. Lucumi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Sanchez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Internacional de Bogota

J. Valencia
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
Beckham Castro
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Parra Atehortua
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target18%
Renan Oliveira
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Micolta
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target22%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Fortaleza FC xG (home)1.3
Internacional de Bogota xG (away)0.72

Average Possession

52.2% Possession 43.5%

Team Comparison Fortaleza FC vs Internacional de Bogota

80.26% Pass accuracy 76.4%
381.35 Passes per match 317
0 Goals prevented 0
10.85 Fouls committed 11.58
2.57 Goalkeeper saves 2.7
1.89 Offsides 1.38
11.02 Tackles per match 12.05

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Fortaleza FC vs Internacional de Bogota prediction analysis

Review Fortaleza FC vs Internacional de Bogota with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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