What markets are included in the Fortaleza FC vs Union Magdalena prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Fortaleza FC vs Union Magdalena prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Fortaleza FC vs Union Magdalena

Fortaleza FC vs Union Magdalena prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-05-24 21:00

Fortaleza FC

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

38%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Union Magdalena

Away

Prediction Summary

50%

28%

23%

Under 2.5

62%

BTTS No

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Fortaleza FC (Home)

Goals scored / match1.09

Goals conceded / match0.87

Over 2.5 rate4%

BTTS rate35%

Union Magdalena (Away)

Goals scored / match0.7

Goals conceded / match1.65

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Fortaleza FC

LLLWL

Union Magdalena

WLLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

70% +0.5 60%

30% +1.5 10%

4% +2.5 0%

4% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

35% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

Fortaleza FC averages 1.09 goals scored at home, while Union Magdalena averages 0.7 goals scored away.

Model Strength

62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

50%

Draw

28%

Away Win

23%

Over 2.5

38%

BTTS Yes

42%

Head-to-Head last 2

Nov 2025 Fortaleza FC(A) 0 - 2 Union Magdalena Away

May 2025 Fortaleza FC 0 - 1 Union Magdalena Away

In the last 2 meetings, Fortaleza FC won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Fortaleza FC — unbeaten run (home)0

Fortaleza FC — scoring streak (home)1

Union Magdalena — winless run (away)6

Union Magdalena — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Fortaleza FC Win (1)50%

Draw (X)28%

Union Magdalena Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

70% +0.5 60%

30% +1.5 10%

4% +2.5 0%

4% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

30% -0.5 40%

70% -1.5 90%

96% -2.5 100%

96% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Fortaleza FC vs Union Magdalena — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Fortaleza FC — scored (home)1.09

Fortaleza FC — conceded (home)0.87

Union Magdalena — scored (away)0.7

Union Magdalena — conceded (away)1.65

Model expected combined goals2.22

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%

No58%

Rate per Team

Fortaleza FC — BTTS matches (home)35%

Union Magdalena — BTTS matches (away)50%

Combined (simple average)42.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.593%

Under 5.57%

Over 6.591%

Under 6.59%

Over 7.568%

Under 7.532%

Over 8.561%

Under 8.539%

Over 9.559%

Under 9.541%

Over 10.554%

Under 10.546%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Fortaleza FC (home)

Corners for5.3

Corners against5.0

Union Magdalena (away)

Corners for2.9

Corners against6.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Fortaleza FC

6 11 11 12 8

Union Magdalena

3 14 12 11 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.588%

Under 2.512%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Fortaleza FC (home)

For2.9

Union Magdalena (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Fortaleza FC — total shots (home)12.4

Union Magdalena — total shots (away)9.0

Shots on Target

Fortaleza FC — on target (home)4.1

Union Magdalena — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Fortaleza FC

Inside the box5.83

Outside the box6.5

Union Magdalena

Inside the box5.77

Outside the box5.72

Player Shots Fortaleza FC

K. Salazar

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target18%

S. Valencia

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target9%

C. Lucumi

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

L. Sanchez

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Union Magdalena

R. Márquez

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target17%

J. Sarmiento

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target8%

R. Blanco

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

C. Iguaran

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target0%

O. Aragon

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Fortaleza FC xG (home)1.3

Union Magdalena xG (away)1.16

Average Possession

52.2% Possession 45.9%

Team Comparison Fortaleza FC vs Union Magdalena

80.26% Pass accuracy 75.59%

381.35 Passes per match 333

0 Goals prevented 0

10.85 Fouls committed 13.13

2.57 Goalkeeper saves 3.18

1.89 Offsides 1.74

11.02 Tackles per match 13.23

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Fortaleza FC vs Union Magdalena prediction analysis

Review Fortaleza FC vs Union Magdalena with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights