Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs 1. FC Magdeburg

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs 1. FC Magdeburg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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2. Bundesliga 2025-11-22 12:00
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
39%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
1. FC Magdeburg
Away

Prediction Summary

1
34%
X
29%
2
38%
Under 2.5
61%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Home)

Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate65%

1. FC Magdeburg (Away)

Goals scored / match1.71
Goals conceded / match1.76
Over 2.5 rate41%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Fortuna Düsseldorf
LWLWL
1. FC Magdeburg
LWWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 65%
47% +1.5 53%
12% +2.5 41%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%
65% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.

Fortuna Düsseldorf averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while 1. FC Magdeburg averages 1.71 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
34%
Draw
29%
Away Win
38%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Fortuna Düsseldorf(A) 0 - 2 1. FC Magdeburg Away
Nov 2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf 2 - 1 1. FC Magdeburg Home
May 2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf(A) 2 - 4 1. FC Magdeburg Away
Dec 2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf 2 - 5 1. FC Magdeburg Away
May 2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf 3 - 2 1. FC Magdeburg Home

In the last 5 meetings, Fortuna Düsseldorf won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Fortuna Düsseldorf — unbeaten run (home)2
Fortuna Düsseldorf — scoring streak (home)5
1. FC Magdeburg — winless run (away)0
1. FC Magdeburg — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Fortuna Düsseldorf Win (1)34%
Draw (X)29%
1. FC Magdeburg Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 65%
47% +1.5 53%
12% +2.5 41%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 35%
53% -1.5 47%
88% -2.5 59%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 94%

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs 1. FC Magdeburg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Fortuna Düsseldorf — scored (home)1.29
Fortuna Düsseldorf — conceded (home)1.53
1. FC Magdeburg — scored (away)1.71
1. FC Magdeburg — conceded (away)1.76
Model expected combined goals2.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

Fortuna Düsseldorf — BTTS matches (home)65%
1. FC Magdeburg — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.565%
Under 7.535%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.536%
Under 10.564%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Fortuna Düsseldorf (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against3.5

1. FC Magdeburg (away)

Corners for5.1
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Fortuna Düsseldorf
13 9 5 7 5
1. FC Magdeburg
13 8 8 16 3

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.591%
Under 0.59%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Fortuna Düsseldorf (home)

For3.1

1. FC Magdeburg (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Fortuna Düsseldorf — total shots (home)12.5
1. FC Magdeburg — total shots (away)15.3

Shots on Target

Fortuna Düsseldorf — on target (home)4.1
1. FC Magdeburg — on target (away)5.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Inside the box8.24
Outside the box4.35

1. FC Magdeburg

Inside the box9.65
Outside the box5.74

Player Shots Fortuna Düsseldorf

J. Daland
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target4%
+1.5 On Target4%
C. Itten
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target40%
C. Rasmussen
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
F. Muslija
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target7%
D. Schmidt
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots 1. FC Magdeburg

M. Żukowski
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target62%
M. Kaars
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Mathisen
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target3%
A. Ahl-Holmström
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Nollenberger
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Fortuna Düsseldorf xG (home)1.2
1. FC Magdeburg xG (away)1.78

Average Possession

49.26% Possession 54.15%

Team Comparison Fortuna Düsseldorf vs 1. FC Magdeburg

79.71% Pass accuracy 82.41%
414.65 Passes per match 447.91
0.01 Goals prevented -0.08
12.32 Fouls committed 11.44
3.35 Goalkeeper saves 3.18
1.85 Offsides 1.88
17.24 Tackles per match 14.7

League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs 1. FC Magdeburg prediction analysis

Review Fortuna Düsseldorf vs 1. FC Magdeburg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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