Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs 1. FC Nürnberg

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs 1. FC Nürnberg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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2. Bundesliga 2025-10-03 16:30
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
32%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
1. FC Nürnberg
Away

Prediction Summary

1
26%
X
30%
2
44%
Under 2.5
68%
BTTS No
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Home)

Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate65%

1. FC Nürnberg (Away)

Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate76%

Team Form last 5 matches

Fortuna Düsseldorf
LWLWL
1. FC Nürnberg
DWDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 76%
47% +1.5 24%
12% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
65% BTTS 76%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.

Fortuna Düsseldorf averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while 1. FC Nürnberg averages 1.18 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
26%
Draw
30%
Away Win
44%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS Yes
39%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Fortuna Düsseldorf(A) 1 - 0 1. FC Nürnberg Home
Oct 2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf 2 - 3 1. FC Nürnberg Away
Apr 2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf 3 - 3 1. FC Nürnberg Draw
Dec 2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf(A) 2 - 2 1. FC Nürnberg Draw
May 2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf 3 - 1 1. FC Nürnberg Home

In the last 5 meetings, Fortuna Düsseldorf won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Fortuna Düsseldorf — unbeaten run (home)2
Fortuna Düsseldorf — scoring streak (home)5
1. FC Nürnberg — winless run (away)4
1. FC Nürnberg — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Fortuna Düsseldorf Win (1)26%
Draw (X)30%
1. FC Nürnberg Win (2)44%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 76%
47% +1.5 24%
12% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 24%
53% -1.5 76%
88% -2.5 82%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs 1. FC Nürnberg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Fortuna Düsseldorf — scored (home)1.29
Fortuna Düsseldorf — conceded (home)1.53
1. FC Nürnberg — scored (away)1.18
1. FC Nürnberg — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2

Both Teams To Score

Yes39%
No61%

Rate per Team

Fortuna Düsseldorf — BTTS matches (home)65%
1. FC Nürnberg — BTTS matches (away)76%
Combined (simple average)70.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.585%
Under 4.515%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.571%
Under 6.529%
Over 7.559%
Under 7.541%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.530%
Under 10.570%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Fortuna Düsseldorf (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against3.5

1. FC Nürnberg (away)

Corners for5.1
Corners against4.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Fortuna Düsseldorf
13 9 5 7 5
1. FC Nürnberg
4 8 9 10 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.591%
Under 0.59%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Fortuna Düsseldorf (home)

For3.1

1. FC Nürnberg (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Fortuna Düsseldorf — total shots (home)12.5
1. FC Nürnberg — total shots (away)11.5

Shots on Target

Fortuna Düsseldorf — on target (home)4.1
1. FC Nürnberg — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Inside the box8.24
Outside the box4.35

1. FC Nürnberg

Inside the box8.79
Outside the box4.09

Player Shots Fortuna Düsseldorf

J. Daland
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target4%
+1.5 On Target4%
C. Itten
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target40%
C. Rasmussen
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
F. Muslija
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target7%
D. Schmidt
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots 1. FC Nürnberg

P. Scobel
Shots on Target/Game3.5
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target5%
P. Diop
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Zoma
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
H. Koudossou
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target14%
L. Lochoshvili
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Fortuna Düsseldorf xG (home)1.2
1. FC Nürnberg xG (away)1.4

Average Possession

49.26% Possession 49.35%

Team Comparison Fortuna Düsseldorf vs 1. FC Nürnberg

79.71% Pass accuracy 80.79%
414.65 Passes per match 403.09
0.01 Goals prevented -0.2
12.32 Fouls committed 11.88
3.35 Goalkeeper saves 3
1.85 Offsides 1.34
17.24 Tackles per match 15.61

League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs 1. FC Nürnberg prediction analysis

Review Fortuna Düsseldorf vs 1. FC Nürnberg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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