Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Karlsruher SC

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Karlsruher SC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
2. Bundesliga 2025-08-30 18:30
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Karlsruher SC
Away

Prediction Summary

1
46%
X
24%
2
30%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Home)

Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate65%

Karlsruher SC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.12
Goals conceded / match2.06
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Fortuna Düsseldorf
LWLWL
Karlsruher SC
LDWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 47%
47% +1.5 41%
12% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
65% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Fortuna Düsseldorf averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while Karlsruher SC averages 1.12 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
46%
Draw
24%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Fortuna Düsseldorf(A) 1 - 1 Karlsruher SC Draw
Aug 2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf 0 - 0 Karlsruher SC Draw
Jan 2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf(A) 3 - 2 Karlsruher SC Home
Aug 2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf 0 - 0 Karlsruher SC Draw
Feb 2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf(A) 2 - 2 Karlsruher SC Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Fortuna Düsseldorf won 1, drew 4 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Fortuna Düsseldorf — unbeaten run (home)2
Fortuna Düsseldorf — scoring streak (home)5
Karlsruher SC — winless run (away)4
Karlsruher SC — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Fortuna Düsseldorf Win (1)46%
Draw (X)24%
Karlsruher SC Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 47%
47% +1.5 41%
12% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 53%
53% -1.5 59%
88% -2.5 82%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Karlsruher SC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Fortuna Düsseldorf — scored (home)1.29
Fortuna Düsseldorf — conceded (home)1.53
Karlsruher SC — scored (away)1.12
Karlsruher SC — conceded (away)2.06
Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

Fortuna Düsseldorf — BTTS matches (home)65%
Karlsruher SC — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.588%
Under 4.512%
Over 5.576%
Under 5.524%
Over 6.565%
Under 6.535%
Over 7.553%
Under 7.547%
Over 8.544%
Under 8.556%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.524%
Under 10.576%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Fortuna Düsseldorf (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against3.5

Karlsruher SC (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Fortuna Düsseldorf
13 9 5 7 5
Karlsruher SC
3 5 8 5 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.591%
Under 0.59%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Fortuna Düsseldorf (home)

For3.1

Karlsruher SC (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Fortuna Düsseldorf — total shots (home)12.5
Karlsruher SC — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

Fortuna Düsseldorf — on target (home)4.1
Karlsruher SC — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Inside the box8.24
Outside the box4.35

Karlsruher SC

Inside the box7.88
Outside the box4.03

Player Shots Fortuna Düsseldorf

J. Daland
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target4%
+1.5 On Target4%
C. Itten
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target40%
C. Rasmussen
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
F. Muslija
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target7%
D. Schmidt
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Karlsruher SC

M. Wanitzek
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target32%
S. Fukuda
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
F. Schleusener
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target18%
Louey Ben Farhat
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target15%
R. Šimić
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Fortuna Düsseldorf xG (home)1.2
Karlsruher SC xG (away)1.3

Average Possession

49.26% Possession 48.38%

Team Comparison Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Karlsruher SC

79.71% Pass accuracy 78.94%
414.65 Passes per match 425.21
0.01 Goals prevented -0.2
12.32 Fouls committed 12.21
3.35 Goalkeeper saves 3.76
1.85 Offsides 1.65
17.24 Tackles per match 14.38

League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Karlsruher SC prediction analysis

Review Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Karlsruher SC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top