Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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2. Bundesliga 2025-12-20 12:00
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
70%
Confidence
High
Score
1-1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
22%
2
39%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Yes
70%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Home)

Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate65%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth (Away)

Goals scored / match1.28
Goals conceded / match2.11
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

Fortuna Düsseldorf
LWLWL
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
WLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 67%
47% +1.5 39%
12% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%
65% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 70%. Model confidence is High.

Fortuna Düsseldorf averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while SpVgg Greuther Fürth averages 1.28 goals scored away.

Model Strength
70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
22%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Yes
70%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Fortuna Düsseldorf(A) 0 - 3 SpVgg Greuther Fürth Away
Dec 2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf 2 - 1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth Home
Feb 2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf 1 - 2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth Away
Sep 2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf(A) 2 - 1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth Home
Apr 2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf 1 - 0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth Home

In the last 5 meetings, Fortuna Düsseldorf won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Fortuna Düsseldorf — unbeaten run (home)2
Fortuna Düsseldorf — scoring streak (home)5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — winless run (away)5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Fortuna Düsseldorf Win (1)39%
Draw (X)22%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 67%
47% +1.5 39%
12% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 33%
53% -1.5 61%
88% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 94%

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Fortuna Düsseldorf — scored (home)1.29
Fortuna Düsseldorf — conceded (home)1.53
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — scored (away)1.28
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — conceded (away)2.11
Model expected combined goals3.63

Both Teams To Score

Yes70%
No30%

Rate per Team

Fortuna Düsseldorf — BTTS matches (home)65%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)66%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.563%
Under 7.537%
Over 8.554%
Under 8.546%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.523%
Under 10.577%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Fortuna Düsseldorf (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against3.5

SpVgg Greuther Fürth (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Fortuna Düsseldorf
13 9 5 7 5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9 20 5 9 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.586%
Under 0.514%
Over 1.586%
Under 1.514%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Fortuna Düsseldorf (home)

For3.1

SpVgg Greuther Fürth (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Fortuna Düsseldorf — total shots (home)12.5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — total shots (away)12.4

Shots on Target

Fortuna Düsseldorf — on target (home)4.1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Inside the box8.24
Outside the box4.35

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Inside the box7.14
Outside the box4.83

Player Shots Fortuna Düsseldorf

J. Daland
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target4%
+1.5 On Target4%
C. Itten
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target40%
C. Rasmussen
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
F. Muslija
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target7%
D. Schmidt
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots SpVgg Greuther Fürth

F. Higl
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
N. Futkeu
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target28%
F. Klaus
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target31%
S. Ltaief
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
J. Green
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Fortuna Düsseldorf xG (home)1.2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG (away)1.29

Average Possession

49.26% Possession 48.22%

Team Comparison Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

79.71% Pass accuracy 78.69%
414.65 Passes per match 397.89
0.01 Goals prevented 0.08
12.32 Fouls committed 11.33
3.35 Goalkeeper saves 2.89
1.85 Offsides 1.74
17.24 Tackles per match 15.75

League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction analysis

Review Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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