What markets are included in the Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax

Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2025-12-06 17:45

Fortuna Sittard

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

64%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Ajax

Away

Prediction Summary

45%

23%

33%

Over 2.5

64%

BTTS Yes

65%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Fortuna Sittard (Home)

Goals scored / match1.65

Goals conceded / match1.71

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate82%

Ajax (Away)

Goals scored / match1.76

Goals conceded / match1.41

Over 2.5 rate29%

BTTS rate76%

Team Form last 5 matches

Fortuna Sittard

LWLLD

Ajax

DWDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 88%

41% +1.5 59%

18% +2.5 29%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

82% BTTS 76%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 64%. Model confidence is Medium.

Fortuna Sittard averages 1.65 goals scored at home, while Ajax averages 1.76 goals scored away.

Model Strength

65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

45%

Draw

23%

Away Win

33%

Over 2.5

64%

BTTS Yes

65%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Fortuna Sittard(A) 1 - 4 Ajax Away

Dec 2025 Fortuna Sittard 1 - 3 Ajax Away

Feb 2025 Fortuna Sittard 0 - 2 Ajax Away

Sep 2024 Fortuna Sittard(A) 0 - 5 Ajax Away

Mar 2024 Fortuna Sittard(A) 2 - 2 Ajax Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Fortuna Sittard won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Fortuna Sittard — unbeaten run (home)1

Fortuna Sittard — scoring streak (home)17

Ajax — winless run (away)1

Ajax — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Fortuna Sittard Win (1)45%

Draw (X)23%

Ajax Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 88%

41% +1.5 59%

18% +2.5 29%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 12%

59% -1.5 41%

82% -2.5 71%

94% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Fortuna Sittard — scored (home)1.65

Fortuna Sittard — conceded (home)1.71

Ajax — scored (away)1.76

Ajax — conceded (away)1.41

Model expected combined goals3.29

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%

No35%

Rate per Team

Fortuna Sittard — BTTS matches (home)82%

Ajax — BTTS matches (away)76%

Combined (simple average)79%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.597%

Under 5.53%

Over 6.591%

Under 6.59%

Over 7.585%

Under 7.515%

Over 8.571%

Under 8.529%

Over 9.562%

Under 9.538%

Over 10.556%

Under 10.544%

Expected total corners (blended average)11.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Fortuna Sittard (home)

Corners for4.9

Corners against6.6

Ajax (away)

Corners for4.4

Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Fortuna Sittard

13 7 9 11 7

Ajax

10 11 16 4 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.568%

Under 2.532%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Fortuna Sittard (home)

For2.2

Ajax (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Fortuna Sittard — total shots (home)14.5

Ajax — total shots (away)13.3

Shots on Target

Fortuna Sittard — on target (home)4.3

Ajax — on target (away)5.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Fortuna Sittard

Inside the box7.91

Outside the box4.76

Ajax

Inside the box10.03

Outside the box4.83

Player Shots Fortuna Sittard

M. Ihattaren

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target32%

K. Sierhuis

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target33%

L. Duijvestijn

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target13%

K. Peterson

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target12%

P. Gladon

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Ajax

M. Godts

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target38%

S. Berghuis

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target29%

O. Gloukh

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target14%

K. Taylor

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target7%

W. Weghorst

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Fortuna Sittard xG (home)1.24

Ajax xG (away)1.62

Average Possession

44.79% Possession 56.39%

Team Comparison Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax

75.56% Pass accuracy 85.03%

363.18 Passes per match 528.97

-0.09 Goals prevented 0.13

12.29 Fouls committed 10.25

3.74 Goalkeeper saves 3.19

1.53 Offsides 1.48

17.79 Tackles per match 16.89

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax prediction analysis

Review Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights