Prediction Analysis: Fortuna Sittard vs Heracles
Fortuna Sittard vs Heracles prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Eredivisie
2025-11-29
17:45
Fortuna Sittard
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-0
Heracles
Away
Prediction Summary
1
68%
X
19%
2
13%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Fortuna Sittard (Home)
Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate82%
Heracles (Away)
Goals scored / match0.71
Goals conceded / match2.88
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate47%
Team Form last 5 matches
Fortuna Sittard
LWLLD
Heracles
LLLLL
Goals Comparison rate per team
100%
+0.5
47%
41%
+1.5
18%
18%
+2.5
6%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
82%
BTTS
47%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.
Fortuna Sittard averages 1.65 goals scored at home, while Heracles averages 0.71 goals scored away.
Model Strength
68%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
68%
Draw
19%
Away Win
13%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
48%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
Fortuna Sittard(A)
1 - 2
Heracles
Away
Nov 2025
Fortuna Sittard
1 - 1
Heracles
Draw
Mar 2025
Fortuna Sittard
1 - 0
Heracles
Home
Dec 2024
Fortuna Sittard(A)
2 - 2
Heracles
Draw
May 2024
Fortuna Sittard(A)
0 - 0
Heracles
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Fortuna Sittard won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Fortuna Sittard — unbeaten run (home)1
Fortuna Sittard — scoring streak (home)17
Heracles — winless run (away)10
Heracles — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Fortuna Sittard Win (1)68%
Draw (X)19%
Heracles Win (2)13%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
100%
+0.5
47%
41%
+1.5
18%
18%
+2.5
6%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
0%
-0.5
53%
59%
-1.5
82%
82%
-2.5
94%
94%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Fortuna Sittard vs Heracles — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Fortuna Sittard — scored (home)1.65
Fortuna Sittard — conceded (home)1.71
Heracles — scored (away)0.71
Heracles — conceded (away)2.88
Model expected combined goals2.91
Both Teams To Score
Yes48%
No52%
Rate per Team
Fortuna Sittard — BTTS matches (home)82%
Heracles — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)64.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.597%
Under 6.53%
Over 7.591%
Under 7.59%
Over 8.579%
Under 8.521%
Over 9.559%
Under 9.541%
Over 10.553%
Under 10.547%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.30
Per-Team Corners own matches
Fortuna Sittard (home)
Corners for4.9
Corners against6.6
Heracles (away)
Corners for4.2
Corners against6.7
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Fortuna Sittard
13
7
9
11
7
Heracles
12
14
6
13
14
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8
Yellow Cards per Team
Fortuna Sittard (home)
For2.2
Heracles (away)
For2.7
Shots per Game
Fortuna Sittard — total shots (home)14.5
Heracles — total shots (away)8.6
Shots on Target
Fortuna Sittard — on target (home)4.3
Heracles — on target (away)2.6
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Fortuna Sittard
Inside the box7.91
Outside the box4.76
Heracles
Inside the box7.38
Outside the box3.74
Player Shots Fortuna Sittard
M. Ihattaren
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target32%
K. Sierhuis
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target33%
L. Duijvestijn
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Peterson
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%
P. Gladon
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target10%
Player Shots Heracles
J. Hornkamp
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target50%
L. Zeefuik
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target15%
A. Hrustić
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target4%
S. Scheperman
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Kulenović
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target7%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Fortuna Sittard xG (home)1.24
Heracles xG (away)1.18
Average Possession
44.79%
Possession
44.71%
Team Comparison Fortuna Sittard vs Heracles
75.56%
Pass accuracy
76.91%
363.18
Passes per match
346.15
-0.09
Goals prevented
0.01
12.29
Fouls committed
13.47
3.74
Goalkeeper saves
4.29
1.53
Offsides
1.38
17.79
Tackles per match
15.85
League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Fortuna Sittard vs Heracles prediction analysis
Review Fortuna Sittard vs Heracles with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Eredivisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights