Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: France vs Morocco

France vs Morocco prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
World Cup 2022-12-14 19:00
France
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
63%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
Morocco
Away

Prediction Summary

1
60%
X
20%
2
19%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

France (Home)

Goals scored / match2.75
Goals conceded / match0.75
Over 2.5 rate50%
BTTS rate75%

Morocco (Away)

Goals scored / match1.25
Goals conceded / match1.25
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

France
DWWWL
Morocco
LLWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 75%
100% +1.5 50%
50% +2.5 0%
25% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
75% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.

France averages 2.75 goals scored at home, while Morocco averages 1.25 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
60%
Draw
20%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jul 2026 France 2 - 0 Morocco Home
Dec 2022 France 2 - 0 Morocco Home

In the last 2 meetings, France won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

France — unbeaten run (home)4
France — scoring streak (home)4
Morocco — winless run (away)2
Morocco — clean sheets (away, last 4)1 of 4

1X2 Probability model

France Win (1)60%
Draw (X)20%
Morocco Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 75%
100% +1.5 50%
50% +2.5 0%
25% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 25%
0% -1.5 50%
50% -2.5 100%
75% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

France vs Morocco — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

France — scored (home)2.75
France — conceded (home)0.75
Morocco — scored (away)1.25
Morocco — conceded (away)1.25
Model expected combined goals3.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

France — BTTS matches (home)75%
Morocco — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)62.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.575%
Under 5.525%
Over 6.575%
Under 6.525%
Over 7.575%
Under 7.525%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.525%
Under 9.575%
Over 10.50%
Under 10.5100%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

France (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against2.3

Morocco (away)

Corners for2.3
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

France
15 8 7 5 11
Morocco
8 8 12 5 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.575%
Under 1.525%
Over 2.550%
Under 2.550%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.4

Yellow Cards per Team

France (home)

For0.5

Morocco (away)

For1.0

Shots per Game

France — total shots (home)18.5
Morocco — total shots (away)9.5

Shots on Target

France — on target (home)6.3
Morocco — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

France

Inside the box10.57
Outside the box4

Morocco

Inside the box5
Outside the box3.71

Player Shots France

Kylian Mbappé
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target57%
O. Giroud
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target33%
A. Rabiot
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
R. Kolo Muani
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Griezmann
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Morocco

Z. Aboukhlal
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Hamed Allah
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
Y. En-Nesyri
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%
N. Mazraoui
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Dari
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.

Average Possession

51.43% Possession 38.43%

Team Comparison France vs Morocco

83.71% Pass accuracy 79.29%
522.71 Passes per match 378.29
9.71 Fouls committed 13.71
2.71 Goalkeeper saves 1.67
2.67 Offsides 2.71
20.71 Tackles per match 18.43
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

France vs Morocco prediction analysis

Review France vs Morocco with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from World Cup.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance World Cup
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top