Prediction Analysis: France vs Morocco
France vs Morocco prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

France
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
63%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1

Morocco
Away
Prediction Summary
1
60%
X
20%
2
19%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
France (Home)
Goals scored / match2.75
Goals conceded / match0.75
Over 2.5 rate50%
BTTS rate75%
Morocco (Away)
Goals scored / match1.25
Goals conceded / match1.25
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%
Team Form last 5 matches
France
DWWWL
Morocco
LLWDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
100%
+0.5
75%
100%
+1.5
50%
50%
+2.5
0%
25%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
75%
BTTS
50%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.
France averages 2.75 goals scored at home, while Morocco averages 1.25 goals scored away.
Model Strength
63%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
60%
Draw
20%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
59%
Head-to-Head last 2
Jul 2026
France
2 - 0
Morocco
Home
Dec 2022
France
2 - 0
Morocco
Home
In the last 2 meetings, France won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
France — unbeaten run (home)4
France — scoring streak (home)4
Morocco — winless run (away)2
Morocco — clean sheets (away, last 4)1 of 4
1X2 Probability model
France Win (1)60%
Draw (X)20%
Morocco Win (2)19%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
100%
+0.5
75%
100%
+1.5
50%
50%
+2.5
0%
25%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
0%
-0.5
25%
0%
-1.5
50%
50%
-2.5
100%
75%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
France vs Morocco — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
France — scored (home)2.75
France — conceded (home)0.75
Morocco — scored (away)1.25
Morocco — conceded (away)1.25
Model expected combined goals3.25
Both Teams To Score
Yes59%
No41%
Rate per Team
France — BTTS matches (home)75%
Morocco — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)62.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.575%
Under 5.525%
Over 6.575%
Under 6.525%
Over 7.575%
Under 7.525%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.525%
Under 9.575%
Over 10.50%
Under 10.5100%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.00
Per-Team Corners own matches
France (home)
Corners for5.8
Corners against2.3
Morocco (away)
Corners for2.3
Corners against5.8
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
France
15
8
7
5
11
Morocco
8
8
12
5
9
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.575%
Under 1.525%
Over 2.550%
Under 2.550%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.4
Yellow Cards per Team
France (home)
For0.5
Morocco (away)
For1.0
Shots per Game
France — total shots (home)18.5
Morocco — total shots (away)9.5
Shots on Target
France — on target (home)6.3
Morocco — on target (away)2.8
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
France
Inside the box10.57
Outside the box4
Morocco
Inside the box5
Outside the box3.71
Player Shots France
Kylian Mbappé
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target57%
O. Giroud
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target33%
A. Rabiot
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
R. Kolo Muani
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Griezmann
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Morocco
Z. Aboukhlal
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Hamed Allah
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
Y. En-Nesyri
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%
N. Mazraoui
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Dari
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.
Average Possession
51.43%
Possession
38.43%
Team Comparison France vs Morocco
83.71%
Pass accuracy
79.29%
522.71
Passes per match
378.29
9.71
Fouls committed
13.71
2.71
Goalkeeper saves
1.67
2.67
Offsides
2.71
20.71
Tackles per match
18.43
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
France vs Morocco prediction analysis
Review France vs Morocco with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from World Cup.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
World Cup
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights