Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FS Jelgava vs Tukums

FS Jelgava vs Tukums prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Virsliga 2026-06-21 13:00
FS Jelgava
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
74%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
Tukums
Away

Prediction Summary

1
69%
X
16%
2
14%
Over 2.5
74%
BTTS Yes
64%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

FS Jelgava (Home)

Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate25%

Tukums (Away)

Goals scored / match1.25
Goals conceded / match3.25
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate100%

Team Form last 5 matches

FS Jelgava
LLWWW
Tukums
LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

50% +0.5 100%
50% +1.5 25%
25% +2.5 0%
25% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
25% BTTS 100%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 74%. Model confidence is High.

FS Jelgava averages 1.5 goals scored at home, while Tukums averages 1.25 goals scored away.

Model Strength
74%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
69%
Draw
16%
Away Win
14%
Over 2.5
74%
BTTS Yes
64%

Head-to-Head last 1

Jun 2026 FS Jelgava 4 - 1 Tukums Home

In the last 1 meetings, FS Jelgava won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

FS Jelgava — unbeaten run (home)0
FS Jelgava — scoring streak (home)0
Tukums — winless run (away)4
Tukums — clean sheets (away, last 4)0 of 4

1X2 Probability model

FS Jelgava Win (1)69%
Draw (X)16%
Tukums Win (2)14%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

50% +0.5 100%
50% +1.5 25%
25% +2.5 0%
25% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

50% -0.5 0%
50% -1.5 75%
75% -2.5 100%
75% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

FS Jelgava vs Tukums — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FS Jelgava — scored (home)1.5
FS Jelgava — conceded (home)1
Tukums — scored (away)1.25
Tukums — conceded (away)3.25
Model expected combined goals3.83

Both Teams To Score

Yes64%
No36%

Rate per Team

FS Jelgava — BTTS matches (home)25%
Tukums — BTTS matches (away)100%
Combined (simple average)62.5%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Per-Team Corners own matches

FS Jelgava (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Tukums (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Yellow Cards per Team

FS Jelgava (home)

For—

Tukums (away)

For—

Shots per Game

FS Jelgava — total shots (home)—
Tukums — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

FS Jelgava — on target (home)—
Tukums — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FS Jelgava

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Tukums

Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.

Average Possession

-% Possession -%

Team Comparison FS Jelgava vs Tukums

0% Pass accuracy 0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FS Jelgava vs Tukums prediction analysis

Review FS Jelgava vs Tukums with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Virsliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Virsliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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