Prediction Analysis: FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2025-12-05
19:30
FSV Mainz 05
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Away
Prediction Summary
1
20%
X
24%
2
57%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
FSV Mainz 05 (Home)
Goals scored / match1.24
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate59%
Borussia Mönchengladbach (Away)
Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate47%
Team Form last 5 matches
FSV Mainz 05
WLWLD
Borussia Mönchengladbach
WLWDD
Goals Comparison rate per team
65%
+0.5
65%
41%
+1.5
18%
18%
+2.5
18%
0%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
0%
59%
BTTS
47%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Medium.
FSV Mainz 05 averages 1.24 goals scored at home, while Borussia Mönchengladbach averages 1.06 goals scored away.
Model Strength
57%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
20%
Draw
24%
Away Win
57%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
FSV Mainz 05(A)
1 - 1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Draw
Dec 2025
FSV Mainz 05
0 - 1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Away
Mar 2025
FSV Mainz 05(A)
3 - 1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Home
Oct 2024
FSV Mainz 05
1 - 1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Draw
Mar 2024
FSV Mainz 05
1 - 1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
FSV Mainz 05 — unbeaten run (home)0
FSV Mainz 05 — scoring streak (home)2
Borussia Mönchengladbach — winless run (away)11
Borussia Mönchengladbach — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
FSV Mainz 05 Win (1)20%
Draw (X)24%
Borussia Mönchengladbach Win (2)57%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
65%
+0.5
65%
41%
+1.5
18%
18%
+2.5
18%
0%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
35%
-0.5
35%
59%
-1.5
82%
82%
-2.5
82%
100%
-3.5
94%
100%
-4.5
100%
FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
FSV Mainz 05 — scored (home)1.24
FSV Mainz 05 — conceded (home)1.47
Borussia Mönchengladbach — scored (away)1.06
Borussia Mönchengladbach — conceded (away)1.71
Model expected combined goals2.65
Both Teams To Score
Yes49%
No51%
Rate per Team
FSV Mainz 05 — BTTS matches (home)59%
Borussia Mönchengladbach — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)53%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90
Per-Team Corners own matches
FSV Mainz 05 (home)
Corners for6.2
Corners against3.8
Borussia Mönchengladbach (away)
Corners for4.2
Corners against5.6
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
FSV Mainz 05
6
8
14
15
9
Borussia Mönchengladbach
6
13
2
5
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9
Yellow Cards per Team
FSV Mainz 05 (home)
For1.8
Borussia Mönchengladbach (away)
For1.6
Shots per Game
FSV Mainz 05 — total shots (home)13.6
Borussia Mönchengladbach — total shots (away)11.7
Shots on Target
FSV Mainz 05 — on target (home)4.1
Borussia Mönchengladbach — on target (away)3.8
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
FSV Mainz 05
Inside the box9.21
Outside the box2.85
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Inside the box7.71
Outside the box3.91
Player Shots FSV Mainz 05
P. Tietz
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target32%
S. Becker
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
S. Katompa Mvumpa
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target38%
N. Amiri
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target19%
B. Hollerbach
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
Player Shots Borussia Mönchengladbach
H. Tabaković
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%
R. Hack
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Castrop
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target19%
R. Reitz
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Diks
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target7%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
FSV Mainz 05 xG (home)1.61
Borussia Mönchengladbach xG (away)1.26
Average Possession
43.97%
Possession
46.71%
Team Comparison FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
74.56%
Pass accuracy
81.47%
370.74
Passes per match
442.29
0.33
Goals prevented
0.16
10.97
Fouls committed
10.79
3.41
Goalkeeper saves
4
2.39
Offsides
1.94
15.35
Tackles per match
16.5
League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction analysis
Review FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights