Prediction Analysis: FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt
FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2025-05-04
17:30
FSV Mainz 05
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Eintracht Frankfurt
Away
Prediction Summary
1
41%
X
26%
2
33%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
FSV Mainz 05 (Home)
Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate59%
Eintracht Frankfurt (Away)
Goals scored / match1.59
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate65%
Team Form last 5 matches
FSV Mainz 05
DWDLD
Eintracht Frankfurt
WDDWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
82%
+0.5
76%
53%
+1.5
41%
6%
+2.5
29%
0%
+3.5
12%
0%
+4.5
0%
59%
BTTS
65%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.
FSV Mainz 05 averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while Eintracht Frankfurt averages 1.59 goals scored away.
Model Strength
55%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
41%
Draw
26%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
Head-to-Head last 5
Mar 2026
FSV Mainz 05
2 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
Home
Nov 2025
FSV Mainz 05(A)
0 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
Away
May 2025
FSV Mainz 05
1 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
Draw
Dec 2024
FSV Mainz 05(A)
3 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
Home
Jan 2024
FSV Mainz 05(A)
0 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
Away
In the last 5 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
FSV Mainz 05 — unbeaten run (home)13
FSV Mainz 05 — scoring streak (home)6
Eintracht Frankfurt — winless run (away)0
Eintracht Frankfurt — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
FSV Mainz 05 Win (1)41%
Draw (X)26%
Eintracht Frankfurt Win (2)33%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
82%
+0.5
76%
53%
+1.5
41%
6%
+2.5
29%
0%
+3.5
12%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
18%
-0.5
24%
47%
-1.5
59%
94%
-2.5
71%
100%
-3.5
88%
100%
-4.5
100%
FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
FSV Mainz 05 — scored (home)1.41
FSV Mainz 05 — conceded (home)1.06
Eintracht Frankfurt — scored (away)1.59
Eintracht Frankfurt — conceded (away)1.41
Model expected combined goals2.7
Both Teams To Score
Yes55%
No45%
Rate per Team
FSV Mainz 05 — BTTS matches (home)59%
Eintracht Frankfurt — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)62%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.559%
Under 9.541%
Over 10.559%
Under 10.541%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00
Per-Team Corners own matches
FSV Mainz 05 (home)
Corners for5.9
Corners against3.8
Eintracht Frankfurt (away)
Corners for4.5
Corners against5.8
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
FSV Mainz 05
12
8
9
12
11
Eintracht Frankfurt
12
12
9
4
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4
Yellow Cards per Team
FSV Mainz 05 (home)
For2.2
Eintracht Frankfurt (away)
For2.0
Shots per Game
FSV Mainz 05 — total shots (home)13.4
Eintracht Frankfurt — total shots (away)12.2
Shots on Target
FSV Mainz 05 — on target (home)4.8
Eintracht Frankfurt — on target (away)4.9
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
FSV Mainz 05
Inside the box8.82
Outside the box3.59
Eintracht Frankfurt
Inside the box10.09
Outside the box4.21
Player Shots FSV Mainz 05
Hong Hyun-Seok
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target4%
+1.5 On Target4%
J. Burkardt
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target34%
Lee Jae-Sung
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target12%
N. Weiper
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target13%
N. Amiri
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target13%
Player Shots Eintracht Frankfurt
Omar Marmoush
Shots on Target/Game2.4
+0.5 On Target88%
+1.5 On Target53%
M. Dahoud
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
H. Ekitike
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target85%
+1.5 On Target33%
C. Uzun
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
R. Koch
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target7%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
FSV Mainz 05 xG (home)1.49
Eintracht Frankfurt xG (away)1.92
Average Possession
50.32%
Possession
49.85%
Team Comparison FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt
77.18%
Pass accuracy
82.5%
436.5
Passes per match
464.5
0.19
Goals prevented
0.13
12
Fouls committed
10.03
3.18
Goalkeeper saves
3.56
2.26
Offsides
1.68
16.59
Tackles per match
16.59
League average xG this season is 1.46 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction analysis
Review FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights