What markets are included in the FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli

FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-02-22 14:30

FSV Mainz 05

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

37%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

FC St. Pauli

Away

Prediction Summary

42%

29%

Under 2.5

63%

BTTS No

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

FSV Mainz 05 (Home)

Goals scored / match1.41

Goals conceded / match1.06

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate59%

FC St. Pauli (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06

Goals conceded / match1.29

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

FSV Mainz 05

DWDLD

FC St. Pauli

LDLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 65%

53% +1.5 35%

6% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

59% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

FSV Mainz 05 averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while FC St. Pauli averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength

63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

42%

Draw

29%

Away Win

29%

Over 2.5

37%

BTTS Yes

43%

Head-to-Head last 4

May 2026 FSV Mainz 05(A) 2 - 1 FC St. Pauli Home

Dec 2025 FSV Mainz 05 0 - 0 FC St. Pauli Draw

Feb 2025 FSV Mainz 05 2 - 0 FC St. Pauli Home

Oct 2024 FSV Mainz 05(A) 3 - 0 FC St. Pauli Home

In the last 4 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 3, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

FSV Mainz 05 — unbeaten run (home)13

FSV Mainz 05 — scoring streak (home)6

FC St. Pauli — winless run (away)2

FC St. Pauli — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FSV Mainz 05 Win (1)42%

Draw (X)29%

FC St. Pauli Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 65%

53% +1.5 35%

6% +2.5 6%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 35%

47% -1.5 65%

94% -2.5 94%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FSV Mainz 05 — scored (home)1.41

FSV Mainz 05 — conceded (home)1.06

FC St. Pauli — scored (away)1.06

FC St. Pauli — conceded (away)1.29

Model expected combined goals2.18

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%

No57%

Rate per Team

FSV Mainz 05 — BTTS matches (home)59%

FC St. Pauli — BTTS matches (away)41%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%

Under 4.59%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.576%

Under 6.524%

Over 7.576%

Under 7.524%

Over 8.562%

Under 8.538%

Over 9.544%

Under 9.556%

Over 10.541%

Under 10.559%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

FSV Mainz 05 (home)

Corners for5.9

Corners against3.8

FC St. Pauli (away)

Corners for3.6

Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FSV Mainz 05

12 8 9 12 11

FC St. Pauli

8 4 8 4 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.588%

Under 1.512%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

FSV Mainz 05 (home)

For2.2

FC St. Pauli (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

FSV Mainz 05 — total shots (home)13.4

FC St. Pauli — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

FSV Mainz 05 — on target (home)4.8

FC St. Pauli — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FSV Mainz 05

Inside the box8.82

Outside the box3.59

FC St. Pauli

Inside the box7.06

Outside the box4.09

Player Shots FSV Mainz 05

Hong Hyun-Seok

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target4%

+1.5 On Target4%

J. Burkardt

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target34%

Lee Jae-Sung

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target12%

N. Weiper

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target13%

N. Amiri

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots FC St. Pauli

J. Eggestein

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target19%

C. Metcalfe

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target10%

E. Saad

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target11%

C. Boukhalfa

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target12%

+1.5 On Target4%

J. Irvine

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FSV Mainz 05 xG (home)1.49

FC St. Pauli xG (away)1.03

Average Possession

50.32% Possession 43.97%

Team Comparison FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli

77.18% Pass accuracy 78.09%

436.5 Passes per match 406.94

0.19 Goals prevented 0.21

12 Fouls committed 10.38

3.18 Goalkeeper saves 2.97

2.26 Offsides 1.97

16.59 Tackles per match 15.91

League average xG this season is 1.46 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli prediction analysis

Review FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights