What markets are included in the FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07

FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Bundesliga 2026-08-29 13:30

FSV Mainz 05

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

48%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

SC Paderborn 07

Away

Prediction Summary

42%

26%

32%

Under 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

52%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

FSV Mainz 05 (Home)

Goals scored / match1.24

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate59%

SC Paderborn 07 (Away)

Goals scored / match0

Goals conceded / match0

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

FSV Mainz 05

WLWLD

SC Paderborn 07

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 0%

41% +1.5 0%

18% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

59% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

FSV Mainz 05 averages 1.24 goals scored at home, while SC Paderborn 07 averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength

52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

42%

Draw

26%

Away Win

32%

Over 2.5

48%

BTTS Yes

52%

Head-to-Head last 2

Feb 2020 FSV Mainz 05 2 - 0 SC Paderborn 07 Home

Oct 2019 FSV Mainz 05(A) 2 - 1 SC Paderborn 07 Home

In the last 2 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

FSV Mainz 05 — unbeaten run (home)0

FSV Mainz 05 — scoring streak (home)2

SC Paderborn 07 — winless run (away)1

SC Paderborn 07 — clean sheets (away, last 1)1 of 1

1X2 Probability model

FSV Mainz 05 Win (1)42%

Draw (X)26%

SC Paderborn 07 Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 0%

41% +1.5 0%

18% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 100%

59% -1.5 100%

82% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FSV Mainz 05 — scored (home)1.24

FSV Mainz 05 — conceded (home)1.47

SC Paderborn 07 — scored (away)0

SC Paderborn 07 — conceded (away)0

Model expected combined goals2.58

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%

No48%

Rate per Team

FSV Mainz 05 — BTTS matches (home)59%

SC Paderborn 07 — BTTS matches (away)0%

Combined (simple average)29.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.559%

Under 8.541%

Over 9.549%

Under 9.551%

Over 10.539%

Under 10.561%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

FSV Mainz 05 (home)

Corners for6.2

Corners against3.8

SC Paderborn 07 (away)

Corners for1.0

Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FSV Mainz 05

6 8 14 15 9

SC Paderborn 07

5 21

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.597%

Under 1.53%

Over 2.588%

Under 2.512%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

FSV Mainz 05 (home)

For1.8

SC Paderborn 07 (away)

For4.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.575%

Under 19.525%

Over 22.562%

Under 22.538%

Over 25.548%

Under 25.552%

Expected total shots25.80

FSV Mainz 05

Shots Over 9.582%

Shots Over 11.568%

Shots Over 13.553%

Expected shots14.51

On Target Over 3.570%

On Target Over 4.554%

On Target Over 5.539%

Expected on target5.04

SC Paderborn 07

Shots Over 9.562%

Shots Over 11.544%

Shots Over 13.529%

Expected shots11.29

On Target Over 3.553%

On Target Over 4.536%

On Target Over 5.522%

Expected on target3.94

Shots per Game

FSV Mainz 05 — total shots (home)13.6

SC Paderborn 07 — total shots (away)2.0

Shots on Target

FSV Mainz 05 — on target (home)4.1

SC Paderborn 07 — on target (away)1.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FSV Mainz 05

Inside the box9.21

Outside the box2.85

SC Paderborn 07

Inside the box14.5

Outside the box6

Player Shots FSV Mainz 05

P. Tietz

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target32%

S. Becker

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target29%

S. Katompa Mvumpa

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target38%

N. Amiri

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target19%

B. Hollerbach

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots SC Paderborn 07

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FSV Mainz 05 xG (home)1.61

SC Paderborn 07 xG (away)0

Average Possession

43.97% Possession 52%

Team Comparison FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07

74.56% Pass accuracy 80.5%

370.74 Passes per match 501.5

0.33 Goals prevented 0

10.97 Fouls committed 14

3.41 Goalkeeper saves 4.5

2.39 Offsides 0

15.35 Tackles per match 17

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction analysis

Review FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights