What markets are included in the FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen

FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-11-01 14:30

FSV Mainz 05

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

68%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Werder Bremen

Away

Prediction Summary

34%

22%

44%

Over 2.5

68%

BTTS Yes

68%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

FSV Mainz 05 (Home)

Goals scored / match1.24

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate59%

Werder Bremen (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06

Goals conceded / match1.71

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

FSV Mainz 05

WLWLD

Werder Bremen

LLLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 59%

41% +1.5 24%

18% +2.5 12%

0% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 0%

59% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 68%. Model confidence is Medium.

FSV Mainz 05 averages 1.24 goals scored at home, while Werder Bremen averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength

68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

34%

Draw

22%

Away Win

44%

Over 2.5

68%

BTTS Yes

68%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 FSV Mainz 05(A) 2 - 0 Werder Bremen Home

Nov 2025 FSV Mainz 05 1 - 1 Werder Bremen Draw

Jan 2025 FSV Mainz 05(A) 0 - 1 Werder Bremen Away

Sep 2024 FSV Mainz 05 1 - 2 Werder Bremen Away

Feb 2024 FSV Mainz 05 0 - 1 Werder Bremen Away

In the last 5 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

FSV Mainz 05 — unbeaten run (home)0

FSV Mainz 05 — scoring streak (home)2

Werder Bremen — winless run (away)3

Werder Bremen — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FSV Mainz 05 Win (1)34%

Draw (X)22%

Werder Bremen Win (2)44%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 59%

41% +1.5 24%

18% +2.5 12%

0% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 41%

59% -1.5 76%

82% -2.5 88%

100% -3.5 88%

100% -4.5 100%

FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FSV Mainz 05 — scored (home)1.24

FSV Mainz 05 — conceded (home)1.47

Werder Bremen — scored (away)1.06

Werder Bremen — conceded (away)1.71

Model expected combined goals3.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes68%

No32%

Rate per Team

FSV Mainz 05 — BTTS matches (home)59%

Werder Bremen — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%

Under 4.59%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.565%

Under 8.535%

Over 9.562%

Under 9.538%

Over 10.553%

Under 10.547%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

FSV Mainz 05 (home)

Corners for6.2

Corners against3.8

Werder Bremen (away)

Corners for4.2

Corners against6.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FSV Mainz 05

6 8 14 15 9

Werder Bremen

10 16 10 11 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.588%

Under 1.512%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

FSV Mainz 05 (home)

For1.8

Werder Bremen (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

FSV Mainz 05 — total shots (home)13.6

Werder Bremen — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

FSV Mainz 05 — on target (home)4.1

Werder Bremen — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FSV Mainz 05

Inside the box9.21

Outside the box2.85

Werder Bremen

Inside the box8.09

Outside the box4.94

Player Shots FSV Mainz 05

P. Tietz

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target32%

S. Becker

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target29%

S. Katompa Mvumpa

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target38%

N. Amiri

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target19%

B. Hollerbach

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Werder Bremen

J. Stage

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target17%

J. Njinmah

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target21%

R. Schmid

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target12%

V. Boniface

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target9%

S. Musah

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FSV Mainz 05 xG (home)1.61

Werder Bremen xG (away)1.23

Average Possession

43.97% Possession 51.15%

Team Comparison FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen

74.56% Pass accuracy 81.53%

370.74 Passes per match 480.41

0.33 Goals prevented 0.2

10.97 Fouls committed 9.91

3.41 Goalkeeper saves 3.26

2.39 Offsides 1.82

15.35 Tackles per match 17.12

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen prediction analysis

Review FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights