What markets are included in the Galatasaray vs AZ Alkmaar prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Galatasaray vs AZ Alkmaar prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Galatasaray vs AZ Alkmaar

Galatasaray vs AZ Alkmaar prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-02-20 17:45

Galatasaray

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

83%

Confidence

High

Score

2-1

AZ Alkmaar

Away

Prediction Summary

59%

18%

23%

Over 2.5

83%

BTTS Yes

77%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Galatasaray (Home)

Goals scored / match3

Goals conceded / match2.2

Over 2.5 rate80%

BTTS rate100%

AZ Alkmaar (Away)

Goals scored / match1.33

Goals conceded / match2.33

Over 2.5 rate17%

BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

Galatasaray

DLLDD

AZ Alkmaar

LWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 67%

100% +1.5 50%

80% +2.5 17%

20% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

100% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 83%. Model confidence is High.

Galatasaray averages 3 goals scored at home, while AZ Alkmaar averages 1.33 goals scored away.

Model Strength

83%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

59%

Draw

18%

Away Win

23%

Over 2.5

83%

BTTS Yes

77%

Head-to-Head last 3

Feb 2025 Galatasaray 2 - 2 AZ Alkmaar Draw

Feb 2025 Galatasaray(A) 1 - 4 AZ Alkmaar Away

Nov 2024 Galatasaray(A) 1 - 1 AZ Alkmaar Draw

In the last 3 meetings, Galatasaray won 0, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Galatasaray — unbeaten run (home)5

Galatasaray — scoring streak (home)5

AZ Alkmaar — winless run (away)6

AZ Alkmaar — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Galatasaray Win (1)59%

Draw (X)18%

AZ Alkmaar Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 67%

100% +1.5 50%

80% +2.5 17%

20% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 33%

0% -1.5 50%

20% -2.5 83%

80% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Galatasaray vs AZ Alkmaar — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Galatasaray — scored (home)3

Galatasaray — conceded (home)2.2

AZ Alkmaar — scored (away)1.33

AZ Alkmaar — conceded (away)2.33

Model expected combined goals4.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes77%

No23%

Rate per Team

Galatasaray — BTTS matches (home)100%

AZ Alkmaar — BTTS matches (away)67%

Combined (simple average)83.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.592%

Under 6.58%

Over 7.584%

Under 7.516%

Over 8.574%

Under 8.526%

Over 9.564%

Under 9.536%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Galatasaray (home)

Corners for7.0

Corners against3.2

AZ Alkmaar (away)

Corners for5.5

Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Galatasaray

10 11 12 8 13

AZ Alkmaar

10 8 13 9 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.574%

Under 1.526%

Over 2.554%

Under 2.546%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Galatasaray (home)

For1.8

AZ Alkmaar (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Galatasaray — total shots (home)24.0

AZ Alkmaar — total shots (away)13.2

Shots on Target

Galatasaray — on target (home)9.4

AZ Alkmaar — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Galatasaray

Inside the box14.2

Outside the box5.8

AZ Alkmaar

Inside the box8.08

Outside the box4.75

Player Shots Galatasaray

V. Osimhen

Shots on Target/Game3.4

+0.5 On Target100%

+1.5 On Target100%

M. Icardi

Shots on Target/Game3

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

Y. Demir

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target20%

D. Mertens

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target10%

+1.5 On Target10%

Y. Akgün

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target75%

+1.5 On Target63%

Player Shots AZ Alkmaar

R. van Bommel

Shots on Target/Game2.3

+0.5 On Target80%

+1.5 On Target40%

K. Belić

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target13%

S. Mijnans

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target20%

E. Poku

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target30%

D. Kasius

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Galatasaray xG (home)2.17

AZ Alkmaar xG (away)1.83

Average Possession

58.1% Possession 46.42%

Team Comparison Galatasaray vs AZ Alkmaar

83.6% Pass accuracy 79.42%

518.9 Passes per match 424.67

0.02 Goals prevented -0.3

10.9 Fouls committed 14.67

3.3 Goalkeeper saves 2.67

2.4 Offsides 2.17

19.6 Tackles per match 18.08

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Galatasaray vs AZ Alkmaar prediction analysis

Review Galatasaray vs AZ Alkmaar with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights