Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Galatasaray vs Beşiktaş

Galatasaray vs Beşiktaş prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2025-10-04 17:00
Galatasaray
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
65%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-0
Beşiktaş
Away

Prediction Summary

1
67%
X
18%
2
15%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Galatasaray (Home)

Goals scored / match2.71
Goals conceded / match0.82
Over 2.5 rate76%
BTTS rate65%

Beşiktaş (Away)

Goals scored / match1.71
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Galatasaray
LWLWW
Beşiktaş
DLWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 82%
76% +1.5 59%
76% +2.5 24%
18% +3.5 6%
6% +4.5 0%
65% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 65%. Model confidence is Medium.

Galatasaray averages 2.71 goals scored at home, while Beşiktaş averages 1.71 goals scored away.

Model Strength
67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
67%
Draw
18%
Away Win
15%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Galatasaray(A) 1 - 0 Beşiktaş Home
Oct 2025 Galatasaray 1 - 1 Beşiktaş Draw
Mar 2025 Galatasaray(A) 1 - 2 Beşiktaş Away
Oct 2024 Galatasaray 2 - 1 Beşiktaş Home
Mar 2024 Galatasaray(A) 1 - 0 Beşiktaş Home

In the last 5 meetings, Galatasaray won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Galatasaray — unbeaten run (home)17
Galatasaray — scoring streak (home)11
Beşiktaş — winless run (away)1
Beşiktaş — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Galatasaray Win (1)67%
Draw (X)18%
Beşiktaş Win (2)15%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 82%
76% +1.5 59%
76% +2.5 24%
18% +3.5 6%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 18%
24% -1.5 41%
24% -2.5 76%
82% -3.5 94%
94% -4.5 100%

Galatasaray vs Beşiktaş — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Galatasaray — scored (home)2.71
Galatasaray — conceded (home)0.82
Beşiktaş — scored (away)1.71
Beşiktaş — conceded (away)1.18
Model expected combined goals3.33

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

Galatasaray — BTTS matches (home)65%
Beşiktaş — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Galatasaray (home)

Corners for6.5
Corners against2.9

Beşiktaş (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Galatasaray
6 10 9 7 9
Beşiktaş
8 7 10 9 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.580%
Under 2.520%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Galatasaray (home)

For1.5

Beşiktaş (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Galatasaray — total shots (home)20.0
Beşiktaş — total shots (away)15.2

Shots on Target

Galatasaray — on target (home)7.1
Beşiktaş — on target (away)5.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Galatasaray

Inside the box11.5
Outside the box4.88

Beşiktaş

Inside the box10.85
Outside the box6.03

Player Shots Galatasaray

V. Osimhen
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target82%
+1.5 On Target55%
M. Icardi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target16%
B. Yılmaz
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target20%
N. Lang
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target8%
L. Sané
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Beşiktaş

Rafa
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target30%
E. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target18%
O. Kökçü
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target23%
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target15%
T. Abraham
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target22%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Galatasaray xG (home)2.02
Beşiktaş xG (away)1.9

Average Possession

62% Possession 55.53%

Team Comparison Galatasaray vs Beşiktaş

86.65% Pass accuracy 82.29%
508.88 Passes per match 446.71
0.04 Goals prevented 0.16
12.5 Fouls committed 13.29
2.53 Goalkeeper saves 2.62
1.74 Offsides 2.16
14.68 Tackles per match 15.56

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Galatasaray vs Beşiktaş prediction analysis

Review Galatasaray vs Beşiktaş with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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