Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Galatasaray vs Çorum FK

Galatasaray vs Çorum FK prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2026-08-16 17:00
Galatasaray
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
Çorum FK
Away

Prediction Summary

1
62%
X
21%
2
18%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Galatasaray (Home)

Goals scored / match2.71
Goals conceded / match0.82
Over 2.5 rate76%
BTTS rate65%

Çorum FK (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Galatasaray
LWLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 0%
76% +1.5 0%
76% +2.5 0%
18% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
65% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

Galatasaray averages 2.71 goals scored at home, while Çorum FK averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
62%
Draw
21%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 0

No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.

Current Streaks

Galatasaray — unbeaten run (home)17
Galatasaray — scoring streak (home)11

1X2 Probability model

Galatasaray Win (1)62%
Draw (X)21%
Çorum FK Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 0%
76% +1.5 0%
76% +2.5 0%
18% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 100%
24% -1.5 100%
24% -2.5 100%
82% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

Galatasaray vs Çorum FK — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Galatasaray — scored (home)2.71
Galatasaray — conceded (home)0.82
Çorum FK — scored (away)0
Çorum FK — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals3.09

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Galatasaray — BTTS matches (home)65%
Çorum FK — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)32.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.536%
Under 10.564%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Galatasaray (home)

Corners for6.5
Corners against2.9

Çorum FK (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Galatasaray
6 10 9 7 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.538%
Under 1.562%
Over 2.533%
Under 2.567%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Galatasaray (home)

For1.5

Çorum FK (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.577%
Under 19.523%
Over 22.564%
Under 22.536%
Over 25.550%
Under 25.550%
Expected total shots26.38

Galatasaray

Shots Over 9.587%
Shots Over 11.576%
Shots Over 13.562%
Expected shots15.86
On Target Over 3.573%
On Target Over 4.559%
On Target Over 5.545%
Expected on target5.48

Çorum FK

Shots Over 9.555%
Shots Over 11.537%
Shots Over 13.523%
Expected shots10.52
On Target Over 3.546%
On Target Over 4.530%
On Target Over 5.518%
Expected on target3.56

Shots per Game

Galatasaray — total shots (home)20.0
Çorum FK — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Galatasaray — on target (home)7.1
Çorum FK — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Galatasaray

Inside the box11.5
Outside the box4.88

Çorum FK

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Galatasaray

V. Osimhen
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target82%
+1.5 On Target55%
M. Icardi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target16%
B. Yılmaz
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target20%
N. Lang
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target8%
L. Sané
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Çorum FK

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Galatasaray xG (home)2.02
Çorum FK xG (away)-

Average Possession

62% Possession -%

Team Comparison Galatasaray vs Çorum FK

86.65% Pass accuracy 0%
508.88 Passes per match -
0.04 Goals prevented -
12.5 Fouls committed -
2.53 Goalkeeper saves -
1.74 Offsides -
14.68 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Galatasaray vs Çorum FK prediction and preview

Preview Galatasaray vs Çorum FK with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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