Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Galatasaray vs IF Elfsborg

Galatasaray vs IF Elfsborg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
UEFA Europa League 2024-10-23 14:30
Galatasaray
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
79%
Confidence
High
Score
2-2
IF Elfsborg
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
20%
2
40%
Over 2.5
79%
BTTS Yes
77%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Galatasaray (Home)

Goals scored / match3
Goals conceded / match2.2
Over 2.5 rate80%
BTTS rate100%

IF Elfsborg (Away)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Galatasaray
DLLDD
IF Elfsborg
LWWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 75%
100% +1.5 38%
80% +2.5 25%
20% +3.5 13%
0% +4.5 13%
100% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 79%. Model confidence is High.

Galatasaray averages 3 goals scored at home, while IF Elfsborg averages 1.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength
79%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
20%
Away Win
40%
Over 2.5
79%
BTTS Yes
77%

Head-to-Head last 1

Oct 2024 Galatasaray 4 - 3 IF Elfsborg Home

In the last 1 meetings, Galatasaray won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Galatasaray — unbeaten run (home)5
Galatasaray — scoring streak (home)5
IF Elfsborg — winless run (away)4
IF Elfsborg — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Galatasaray Win (1)40%
Draw (X)20%
IF Elfsborg Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 75%
100% +1.5 38%
80% +2.5 25%
20% +3.5 13%
0% +4.5 13%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 25%
0% -1.5 62%
20% -2.5 75%
80% -3.5 87%
100% -4.5 87%

Galatasaray vs IF Elfsborg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Galatasaray — scored (home)3
Galatasaray — conceded (home)2.2
IF Elfsborg — scored (away)1.63
IF Elfsborg — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals4.2

Both Teams To Score

Yes77%
No23%

Rate per Team

Galatasaray — BTTS matches (home)100%
IF Elfsborg — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)75%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.582%
Under 4.518%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.575%
Under 7.525%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Galatasaray (home)

Corners for7.0
Corners against3.2

IF Elfsborg (away)

Corners for2.8
Corners against7.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Galatasaray
10 11 12 8 13
IF Elfsborg
9 10 6 13 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.552%
Under 2.548%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Galatasaray (home)

For1.8

IF Elfsborg (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Galatasaray — total shots (home)24.0
IF Elfsborg — total shots (away)8.4

Shots on Target

Galatasaray — on target (home)9.4
IF Elfsborg — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Galatasaray

Inside the box14.2
Outside the box5.8

IF Elfsborg

Inside the box4.5
Outside the box2.25

Player Shots Galatasaray

V. Osimhen
Shots on Target/Game3.4
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target100%
M. Icardi
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Y. Demir
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
D. Mertens
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target10%
Y. Akgün
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target63%

Player Shots IF Elfsborg

E. Holten
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
M. Baidoo
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Qasem
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target0%
G. Henriksson
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
T. Ouma
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Galatasaray xG (home)2.17
IF Elfsborg xG (away)0.92

Average Possession

58.1% Possession 33.8%

Team Comparison Galatasaray vs IF Elfsborg

83.6% Pass accuracy 70.38%
518.9 Passes per match 286
0.02 Goals prevented -0.14
10.9 Fouls committed 12.6
3.3 Goalkeeper saves 3.8
2.4 Offsides 2.1
19.6 Tackles per match 18.25

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Galatasaray vs IF Elfsborg prediction analysis

Review Galatasaray vs IF Elfsborg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top