What markets are included in the Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa

Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2025-12-21 17:00

Galatasaray

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

52%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-0

Kasımpaşa

Away

Prediction Summary

55%

24%

21%

Over 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

52%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Galatasaray (Home)

Goals scored / match2.71

Goals conceded / match0.82

Over 2.5 rate76%

BTTS rate65%

Kasımpaşa (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06

Goals conceded / match1.76

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Galatasaray

LWLWW

Kasımpaşa

WLDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 71%

76% +1.5 29%

76% +2.5 6%

18% +3.5 0%

6% +4.5 0%

65% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.

Galatasaray averages 2.71 goals scored at home, while Kasımpaşa averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength

55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

55%

Draw

24%

Away Win

21%

Over 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

52%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Galatasaray(A) 0 - 1 Kasımpaşa Away

Dec 2025 Galatasaray 3 - 0 Kasımpaşa Home

Mar 2025 Galatasaray(A) 3 - 3 Kasımpaşa Draw

Sep 2024 Galatasaray 3 - 3 Kasımpaşa Draw

Mar 2024 Galatasaray(A) 4 - 3 Kasımpaşa Home

In the last 5 meetings, Galatasaray won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Galatasaray — unbeaten run (home)17

Galatasaray — scoring streak (home)11

Kasımpaşa — winless run (away)10

Kasımpaşa — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Galatasaray Win (1)55%

Draw (X)24%

Kasımpaşa Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 71%

76% +1.5 29%

76% +2.5 6%

18% +3.5 0%

6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 29%

24% -1.5 71%

24% -2.5 94%

82% -3.5 100%

94% -4.5 100%

Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Galatasaray — scored (home)2.71

Galatasaray — conceded (home)0.82

Kasımpaşa — scored (away)1.06

Kasımpaşa — conceded (away)1.76

Model expected combined goals2.75

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%

No48%

Rate per Team

Galatasaray — BTTS matches (home)65%

Kasımpaşa — BTTS matches (away)65%

Combined (simple average)65%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%

Under 4.56%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.574%

Under 6.526%

Over 7.565%

Under 7.535%

Over 8.556%

Under 8.544%

Over 9.547%

Under 9.553%

Over 10.530%

Under 10.570%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Galatasaray (home)

Corners for6.5

Corners against2.9

Kasımpaşa (away)

Corners for3.6

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Galatasaray

6 10 9 7 9

Kasımpaşa

7 8 11 9 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.588%

Under 1.512%

Over 2.580%

Under 2.520%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Galatasaray (home)

For1.5

Kasımpaşa (away)

For3.2

Shots per Game

Galatasaray — total shots (home)20.0

Kasımpaşa — total shots (away)7.7

Shots on Target

Galatasaray — on target (home)7.1

Kasımpaşa — on target (away)2.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Galatasaray

Inside the box11.5

Outside the box4.88

Kasımpaşa

Inside the box5.5

Outside the box4.06

Player Shots Galatasaray

V. Osimhen

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target82%

+1.5 On Target55%

M. Icardi

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target16%

B. Yılmaz

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target20%

N. Lang

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target8%

L. Sané

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Kasımpaşa

A. Benedyczak

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target36%

H. Hajradinović

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

P. Guèye

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target4%

İ. Kahveci

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target19%

Cláudio Winck

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Galatasaray xG (home)2.02

Kasımpaşa xG (away)0.89

Average Possession

62% Possession 44.44%

Team Comparison Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa

86.65% Pass accuracy 76.26%

508.88 Passes per match 338.41

0.04 Goals prevented -0.04

12.5 Fouls committed 15.5

2.53 Goalkeeper saves 2.94

1.74 Offsides 1.39

14.68 Tackles per match 15.03

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa prediction analysis

Review Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights