Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Galatasaray vs Union St. Gilloise

Galatasaray vs Union St. Gilloise prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-11-25 17:45
Galatasaray
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Union St. Gilloise
Away

Prediction Summary

1
52%
X
24%
2
24%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Galatasaray (Home)

Goals scored / match1.83
Goals conceded / match0.83
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate50%

Union St. Gilloise (Away)

Goals scored / match1.25
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Galatasaray
LWLWL
Union St. Gilloise
WLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 75%
33% +1.5 25%
33% +2.5 25%
17% +3.5 0%
17% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

Galatasaray averages 1.83 goals scored at home, while Union St. Gilloise averages 1.25 goals scored away.

Model Strength
52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
52%
Draw
24%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 1

Nov 2025 Galatasaray 0 - 1 Union St. Gilloise Away

In the last 1 meetings, Galatasaray won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Galatasaray — unbeaten run (home)3
Galatasaray — scoring streak (home)3
Union St. Gilloise — winless run (away)1
Union St. Gilloise — clean sheets (away, last 4)1 of 4

1X2 Probability model

Galatasaray Win (1)52%
Draw (X)24%
Union St. Gilloise Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 75%
33% +1.5 25%
33% +2.5 25%
17% +3.5 0%
17% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 25%
67% -1.5 75%
67% -2.5 75%
83% -3.5 100%
83% -4.5 100%

Galatasaray vs Union St. Gilloise — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Galatasaray — scored (home)1.83
Galatasaray — conceded (home)0.83
Union St. Gilloise — scored (away)1.25
Union St. Gilloise — conceded (away)1.5
Model expected combined goals2.71

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Galatasaray — BTTS matches (home)50%
Union St. Gilloise — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.588%
Under 7.512%
Over 8.588%
Under 8.512%
Over 9.567%
Under 9.533%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Galatasaray (home)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.3

Union St. Gilloise (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Galatasaray
8 10 13 11 8
Union St. Gilloise
10 9 5 5 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.588%
Under 0.512%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Galatasaray (home)

For2.7

Union St. Gilloise (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Galatasaray — total shots (home)15.2
Union St. Gilloise — total shots (away)11.8

Shots on Target

Galatasaray — on target (home)5.5
Union St. Gilloise — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Galatasaray

Inside the box8.58
Outside the box4.42

Union St. Gilloise

Inside the box8.25
Outside the box3.63

Player Shots Galatasaray

V. Osimhen
Shots on Target/Game2.5
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target50%
Y. Akgün
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target22%
N. Lang
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Yılmaz
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target0%
L. Sané
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Union St. Gilloise

P. David
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target29%
K. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
S. Boufal
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
R. Florucz
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Khalaili
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Galatasaray xG (home)1.56
Union St. Gilloise xG (away)1.31

Average Possession

50.33% Possession 35%

Team Comparison Galatasaray vs Union St. Gilloise

81.5% Pass accuracy 77.75%
449.67 Passes per match 335
0.1 Goals prevented 0.27
11.25 Fouls committed 12.13
4.17 Goalkeeper saves 2.25
2.25 Offsides 4
18 Tackles per match 24.88

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Galatasaray vs Union St. Gilloise prediction analysis

Review Galatasaray vs Union St. Gilloise with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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