Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Galway United vs Derry City

Galway United vs Derry City prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier Division 2026-06-19 18:45
Galway United
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Derry City
Away

Prediction Summary

1
61%
X
21%
2
18%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Galway United (Home)

Goals scored / match1.67
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate67%

Derry City (Away)

Goals scored / match1.16
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Galway United
DWLLW
Derry City
LWLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 74%
67% +1.5 26%
33% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
67% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Galway United averages 1.67 goals scored at home, while Derry City averages 1.16 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
61%
Draw
21%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jun 2026 Galway United 2 - 1 Derry City Home
Aug 2025 Galway United 1 - 2 Derry City Away
Jun 2025 Galway United(A) 1 - 1 Derry City Draw
Apr 2025 Galway United 2 - 3 Derry City Away
Mar 2025 Galway United(A) 1 - 1 Derry City Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Galway United won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Galway United — unbeaten run (home)3
Galway United — scoring streak (home)0
Derry City — winless run (away)1
Derry City — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Galway United Win (1)61%
Draw (X)21%
Derry City Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 74%
67% +1.5 26%
33% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 26%
33% -1.5 74%
67% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Galway United vs Derry City — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Galway United — scored (home)1.67
Galway United — conceded (home)1
Derry City — scored (away)1.16
Derry City — conceded (away)1.26
Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Galway United — BTTS matches (home)67%
Derry City — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)60%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.550%
Under 4.550%
Over 5.550%
Under 5.550%
Over 6.550%
Under 6.550%
Over 7.550%
Under 7.550%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.50%
Under 10.5100%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Galway United (home)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.0

Derry City (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Galway United
10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.550%
Under 2.550%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6

Yellow Cards per Team

Galway United (home)

For3.0

Derry City (away)

For—

Shots per Game

Galway United — total shots (home)17.0
Derry City — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Galway United — on target (home)3.0
Derry City — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Galway United

Inside the box14
Outside the box3

Derry City

Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

Galway United xG (home)1.27
Derry City xG (away)-

Average Possession

53% Possession -%

Team Comparison Galway United vs Derry City

61% Pass accuracy 0%
319 Passes per match -
0.23 Goals prevented -
9 Fouls committed -
2 Goalkeeper saves -
0 Offsides -

League average xG this season is 1.12 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Galway United vs Derry City prediction analysis

Review Galway United vs Derry City with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier Division.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier Division
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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