Prediction Analysis: Galway United vs Derry City
Galway United vs Derry City prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Galway United
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0

Derry City
Away
Prediction Summary
1
61%
X
21%
2
18%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Galway United (Home)
Goals scored / match1.67
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate67%
Derry City (Away)
Goals scored / match1.16
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate53%
Team Form last 5 matches
Galway United
DWLLW
Derry City
LWLWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
67%
+0.5
74%
67%
+1.5
26%
33%
+2.5
11%
0%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
0%
67%
BTTS
53%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.
Galway United averages 1.67 goals scored at home, while Derry City averages 1.16 goals scored away.
Model Strength
61%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
61%
Draw
21%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jun 2026
Galway United
2 - 1
Derry City
Home
Aug 2025
Galway United
1 - 2
Derry City
Away
Jun 2025
Galway United(A)
1 - 1
Derry City
Draw
Apr 2025
Galway United
2 - 3
Derry City
Away
Mar 2025
Galway United(A)
1 - 1
Derry City
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Galway United won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Galway United — unbeaten run (home)3
Galway United — scoring streak (home)0
Derry City — winless run (away)1
Derry City — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Galway United Win (1)61%
Draw (X)21%
Derry City Win (2)18%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
67%
+0.5
74%
67%
+1.5
26%
33%
+2.5
11%
0%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
33%
-0.5
26%
33%
-1.5
74%
67%
-2.5
89%
100%
-3.5
95%
100%
-4.5
100%
Galway United vs Derry City — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Galway United — scored (home)1.67
Galway United — conceded (home)1
Derry City — scored (away)1.16
Derry City — conceded (away)1.26
Model expected combined goals3
Both Teams To Score
Yes55%
No45%
Rate per Team
Galway United — BTTS matches (home)67%
Derry City — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)60%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.550%
Under 4.550%
Over 5.550%
Under 5.550%
Over 6.550%
Under 6.550%
Over 7.550%
Under 7.550%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.50%
Under 10.5100%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00
Per-Team Corners own matches
Galway United (home)
Corners for5.0
Corners against5.0
Derry City (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Galway United
10
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.550%
Under 2.550%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6
Yellow Cards per Team
Galway United (home)
For3.0
Derry City (away)
For—
Shots per Game
Galway United — total shots (home)17.0
Derry City — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Galway United — on target (home)3.0
Derry City — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Galway United
Inside the box14
Outside the box3
Derry City
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
Galway United xG (home)1.27
Derry City xG (away)-
Average Possession
53%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Galway United vs Derry City
61%
Pass accuracy
0%
319
Passes per match
-
0.23
Goals prevented
-
9
Fouls committed
-
2
Goalkeeper saves
-
0
Offsides
-
League average xG this season is 1.12 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Galway United vs Derry City prediction analysis
Review Galway United vs Derry City with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier Division.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Premier Division
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights