Prediction Analysis: Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor
Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Süper Lig
2026-08-16
17:00
Gaziantep FK
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Alanyaspor
Away
Prediction Summary
1
38%
X
26%
2
36%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Gaziantep FK (Home)
Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate65%
Alanyaspor (Away)
Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate76%
Team Form last 5 matches
Gaziantep FK
LLLLW
Alanyaspor
LWDLL
Goals Comparison rate per team
76%
+0.5
76%
41%
+1.5
29%
12%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
65%
BTTS
76%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Low.
Gaziantep FK averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while Alanyaspor averages 1.06 goals scored away.
Model Strength
54%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
38%
Draw
26%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
Gaziantep FK
1 - 1
Alanyaspor
Draw
Nov 2025
Gaziantep FK(A)
0 - 0
Alanyaspor
Draw
May 2025
Gaziantep FK
0 - 1
Alanyaspor
Away
Dec 2024
Gaziantep FK(A)
0 - 3
Alanyaspor
Away
Apr 2024
Gaziantep FK
0 - 3
Alanyaspor
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Gaziantep FK won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.
Current Streaks
Gaziantep FK — unbeaten run (home)0
Gaziantep FK — scoring streak (home)1
Alanyaspor — winless run (away)15
Alanyaspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Gaziantep FK Win (1)38%
Draw (X)26%
Alanyaspor Win (2)36%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
76%
+0.5
76%
41%
+1.5
29%
12%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
24%
-0.5
24%
59%
-1.5
71%
88%
-2.5
100%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Gaziantep FK — scored (home)1.29
Gaziantep FK — conceded (home)1.59
Alanyaspor — scored (away)1.06
Alanyaspor — conceded (away)1.41
Model expected combined goals2.68
Both Teams To Score
Yes54%
No46%
Rate per Team
Gaziantep FK — BTTS matches (home)65%
Alanyaspor — BTTS matches (away)76%
Combined (simple average)70.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.536%
Under 10.564%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40
Per-Team Corners own matches
Gaziantep FK (home)
Corners for6.6
Corners against4.8
Alanyaspor (away)
Corners for3.9
Corners against3.9
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Gaziantep FK
8
11
10
15
9
Alanyaspor
7
17
11
8
4
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4
Yellow Cards per Team
Gaziantep FK (home)
For2.8
Alanyaspor (away)
For3.0
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.573%
Under 19.527%
Over 22.559%
Under 22.541%
Over 25.545%
Under 25.555%
Expected total shots25.26
Gaziantep FK
Shots Over 9.578%
Shots Over 11.563%
Shots Over 13.547%
Expected shots13.69
On Target Over 3.564%
On Target Over 4.548%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.72
Alanyaspor
Shots Over 9.564%
Shots Over 11.547%
Shots Over 13.531%
Expected shots11.58
On Target Over 3.554%
On Target Over 4.537%
On Target Over 5.524%
Expected on target4.00
Shots per Game
Gaziantep FK — total shots (home)15.4
Alanyaspor — total shots (away)11.6
Shots on Target
Gaziantep FK — on target (home)5.1
Alanyaspor — on target (away)3.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Gaziantep FK
Inside the box7.94
Outside the box5.18
Alanyaspor
Inside the box7.68
Outside the box4.74
Player Shots Gaziantep FK
M. Bayo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target28%
D. Camara
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target23%
C. Lungoyi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%
K. Kozłowski
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%
A. Maxim
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%
Player Shots Alanyaspor
Ruan
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target7%
Hwang Ui-Jo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%
U. Ogundu
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target18%
İ. Kaya
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target10%
G. Yalçın
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target14%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Gaziantep FK xG (home)1.31
Alanyaspor xG (away)1.02
Average Possession
49.82%
Possession
48.15%
Team Comparison Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor
81.5%
Pass accuracy
83%
385.65
Passes per match
406.94
-0.02
Goals prevented
0
13.21
Fouls committed
12.5
3.58
Goalkeeper saves
2.74
1.5
Offsides
1.26
15.97
Tackles per match
11.21
League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor prediction analysis
Review Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights