Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Gaziantep FK vs Rizespor

Gaziantep FK vs Rizespor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2025-11-08 11:30
Gaziantep FK
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
63%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Rizespor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
31%
X
23%
2
46%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
64%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Gaziantep FK (Home)

Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate65%

Rizespor (Away)

Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Gaziantep FK
LLLLW
Rizespor
DLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 71%
41% +1.5 35%
12% +2.5 12%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%
65% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.

Gaziantep FK averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while Rizespor averages 1.29 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
31%
Draw
23%
Away Win
46%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
64%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Gaziantep FK(A) 1 - 2 Rizespor Away
Dec 2025 Gaziantep FK(A) 2 - 5 Rizespor Away
Nov 2025 Gaziantep FK 2 - 2 Rizespor Draw
May 2025 Gaziantep FK(A) 0 - 2 Rizespor Away
Dec 2024 Gaziantep FK 1 - 0 Rizespor Home

In the last 5 meetings, Gaziantep FK won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Gaziantep FK — unbeaten run (home)0
Gaziantep FK — scoring streak (home)1
Rizespor — winless run (away)5
Rizespor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Gaziantep FK Win (1)31%
Draw (X)23%
Rizespor Win (2)46%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 71%
41% +1.5 35%
12% +2.5 12%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 29%
59% -1.5 65%
88% -2.5 88%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 94%

Gaziantep FK vs Rizespor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Gaziantep FK — scored (home)1.29
Gaziantep FK — conceded (home)1.59
Rizespor — scored (away)1.29
Rizespor — conceded (away)1.71
Model expected combined goals3.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes64%
No36%

Rate per Team

Gaziantep FK — BTTS matches (home)65%
Rizespor — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)65%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Gaziantep FK (home)

Corners for6.6
Corners against4.8

Rizespor (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Gaziantep FK
8 11 10 15 9
Rizespor
10 14 3 9 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.580%
Under 2.520%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Gaziantep FK (home)

For2.8

Rizespor (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Gaziantep FK — total shots (home)15.4
Rizespor — total shots (away)11.6

Shots on Target

Gaziantep FK — on target (home)5.1
Rizespor — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Gaziantep FK

Inside the box7.94
Outside the box5.18

Rizespor

Inside the box7.53
Outside the box5.47

Player Shots Gaziantep FK

M. Bayo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target28%
D. Camara
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target23%
C. Lungoyi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%
K. Kozłowski
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%
A. Maxim
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Rizespor

J. Rak-Sakyi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target9%
Adedire Emmanuel Awokoya-Mebude
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target15%
V. Mihăilă
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target14%
Q. Laçi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Sowe
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Gaziantep FK xG (home)1.31
Rizespor xG (away)1.33

Average Possession

49.82% Possession 49.88%

Team Comparison Gaziantep FK vs Rizespor

81.5% Pass accuracy 81.32%
385.65 Passes per match 391.32
-0.02 Goals prevented -0.01
13.21 Fouls committed 13.71
3.58 Goalkeeper saves 3.26
1.5 Offsides 1.81
15.97 Tackles per match 14.85

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Gaziantep FK vs Rizespor prediction analysis

Review Gaziantep FK vs Rizespor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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