Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Alanyaspor

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Alanyaspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2025-10-04 11:30
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Alanyaspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
29%
X
27%
2
45%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Gençlerbirliği S.K. (Home)

Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate59%

Alanyaspor (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate76%

Team Form last 5 matches

Gençlerbirliği S.K.
WWLWL
Alanyaspor
LWDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 76%
41% +1.5 29%
18% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 76%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while Alanyaspor averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
29%
Draw
27%
Away Win
45%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Gençlerbirliği S.K.(A) 0 - 0 Alanyaspor Draw
Oct 2025 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2 - 2 Alanyaspor Draw
Apr 2021 Gençlerbirliği S.K.(A) 2 - 1 Alanyaspor Home
Dec 2020 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2 - 1 Alanyaspor Home
Feb 2020 Gençlerbirliği S.K.(A) 1 - 0 Alanyaspor Home

In the last 5 meetings, Gençlerbirliği S.K. won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Gençlerbirliği S.K. — unbeaten run (home)2
Gençlerbirliği S.K. — scoring streak (home)3
Alanyaspor — winless run (away)15
Alanyaspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Gençlerbirliği S.K. Win (1)29%
Draw (X)27%
Alanyaspor Win (2)45%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 76%
41% +1.5 29%
18% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 24%
59% -1.5 71%
82% -2.5 100%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Alanyaspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Gençlerbirliği S.K. — scored (home)1.41
Gençlerbirliği S.K. — conceded (home)1.41
Alanyaspor — scored (away)1.06
Alanyaspor — conceded (away)1.41
Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

Gençlerbirliği S.K. — BTTS matches (home)59%
Alanyaspor — BTTS matches (away)76%
Combined (simple average)67.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.585%
Under 4.515%
Over 5.580%
Under 5.520%
Over 6.565%
Under 6.535%
Over 7.559%
Under 7.541%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Gençlerbirliği S.K. (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against5.2

Alanyaspor (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against3.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Gençlerbirliği S.K.
6 3 7 9 8
Alanyaspor
7 17 11 8 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Gençlerbirliği S.K. (home)

For2.1

Alanyaspor (away)

For3.0

Shots per Game

Gençlerbirliği S.K. — total shots (home)12.3
Alanyaspor — total shots (away)11.6

Shots on Target

Gençlerbirliği S.K. — on target (home)4.4
Alanyaspor — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Inside the box6.44
Outside the box4.29

Alanyaspor

Inside the box7.68
Outside the box4.74

Player Shots Gençlerbirliği S.K.

F. Tongya
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Mimaroğlu
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Koïta
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target15%
M. Niang
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target12%
A. Traoré
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Alanyaspor

Ruan
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target7%
Hwang Ui-Jo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%
U. Ogundu
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target18%
İ. Kaya
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target10%
G. Yalçın
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Gençlerbirliği S.K. xG (home)1.04
Alanyaspor xG (away)1.02

Average Possession

43.24% Possession 48.15%

Team Comparison Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Alanyaspor

77.03% Pass accuracy 83%
324.79 Passes per match 406.94
0.15 Goals prevented 0
12.82 Fouls committed 12.5
3.15 Goalkeeper saves 2.74
1.76 Offsides 1.26
14.26 Tackles per match 11.21

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Alanyaspor prediction analysis

Review Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Alanyaspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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