Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Başakşehir

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Başakşehir prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Süper Lig 2025-11-07 17:00
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
43%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Başakşehir
Away

Prediction Summary

1
24%
X
26%
2
50%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Gençlerbirliği S.K. (Home)

Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate59%

Başakşehir (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Gençlerbirliği S.K.
WWLWL
Başakşehir
WWLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 76%
41% +1.5 47%
18% +2.5 18%
6% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while Başakşehir averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
24%
Draw
26%
Away Win
50%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Gençlerbirliği S.K.(A) 0 - 3 Başakşehir Away
Nov 2025 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2 - 1 Başakşehir Home
Mar 2021 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0 - 1 Başakşehir Away
Nov 2020 Gençlerbirliği S.K.(A) 1 - 2 Başakşehir Away
Jan 2020 Gençlerbirliği S.K.(A) 1 - 3 Başakşehir Away

In the last 5 meetings, Gençlerbirliği S.K. won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Gençlerbirliği S.K. — unbeaten run (home)2
Gençlerbirliği S.K. — scoring streak (home)3
Başakşehir — winless run (away)0
Başakşehir — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Gençlerbirliği S.K. Win (1)24%
Draw (X)26%
Başakşehir Win (2)50%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 76%
41% +1.5 47%
18% +2.5 18%
6% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 24%
59% -1.5 53%
82% -2.5 82%
94% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Başakşehir — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Gençlerbirliği S.K. — scored (home)1.41
Gençlerbirliği S.K. — conceded (home)1.41
Başakşehir — scored (away)1.47
Başakşehir — conceded (away)1.06
Model expected combined goals2.38

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

Gençlerbirliği S.K. — BTTS matches (home)59%
Başakşehir — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.586%
Under 6.514%
Over 7.580%
Under 7.520%
Over 8.577%
Under 8.523%
Over 9.562%
Under 9.538%
Over 10.556%
Under 10.544%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Gençlerbirliği S.K. (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against5.2

Başakşehir (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Gençlerbirliği S.K.
6 3 7 9 8
Başakşehir
13 8 12 7 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Gençlerbirliği S.K. (home)

For2.1

Başakşehir (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Gençlerbirliği S.K. — total shots (home)12.3
Başakşehir — total shots (away)13.6

Shots on Target

Gençlerbirliği S.K. — on target (home)4.4
Başakşehir — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Inside the box6.44
Outside the box4.29

Başakşehir

Inside the box9.41
Outside the box4.09

Player Shots Gençlerbirliği S.K.

F. Tongya
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Mimaroğlu
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Koïta
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target15%
M. Niang
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target12%
A. Traoré
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Başakşehir

E. Shomurodov
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target82%
+1.5 On Target41%
Y. Sarı
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target24%
D. Selke
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target21%
A. Fayzullaev
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%
B. Yıldırım
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Gençlerbirliği S.K. xG (home)1.04
Başakşehir xG (away)1.58

Average Possession

43.24% Possession 54.44%

Team Comparison Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Başakşehir

77.03% Pass accuracy 83.5%
324.79 Passes per match 435.29
0.15 Goals prevented 0.06
12.82 Fouls committed 13.35
3.15 Goalkeeper saves 3.12
1.76 Offsides 1.36
14.26 Tackles per match 12.82

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Başakşehir prediction analysis

Review Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Başakşehir with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top