What markets are included in the Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Fenerbahçe prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Fenerbahçe prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Fenerbahçe

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Fenerbahçe prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Süper Lig 2026-08-16 17:00

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

58%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Fenerbahçe

Away

Prediction Summary

26%

23%

51%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

59%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Gençlerbirliği S.K. (Home)

Goals scored / match1.41

Goals conceded / match1.41

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate59%

Fenerbahçe (Away)

Goals scored / match2.18

Goals conceded / match1.06

Over 2.5 rate53%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

WWLWL

Fenerbahçe

DWWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 76%

41% +1.5 65%

18% +2.5 53%

6% +3.5 18%

0% +4.5 6%

59% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while Fenerbahçe averages 2.18 goals scored away.

Model Strength

59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

26%

Draw

23%

Away Win

51%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

59%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Gençlerbirliği S.K.(A) 1 - 3 Fenerbahçe Away

Aug 2025 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1 - 3 Fenerbahçe Away

Mar 2021 Gençlerbirliği S.K.(A) 2 - 1 Fenerbahçe Home

Nov 2020 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1 - 5 Fenerbahçe Away

Jul 2020 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1 - 1 Fenerbahçe Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Gençlerbirliği S.K. won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Gençlerbirliği S.K. — unbeaten run (home)2

Gençlerbirliği S.K. — scoring streak (home)3

Fenerbahçe — winless run (away)0

Fenerbahçe — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Gençlerbirliği S.K. Win (1)26%

Draw (X)23%

Fenerbahçe Win (2)51%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 76%

41% +1.5 65%

18% +2.5 53%

6% +3.5 18%

0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 24%

59% -1.5 35%

82% -2.5 47%

94% -3.5 82%

100% -4.5 94%

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Fenerbahçe — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Gençlerbirliği S.K. — scored (home)1.41

Gençlerbirliği S.K. — conceded (home)1.41

Fenerbahçe — scored (away)2.18

Fenerbahçe — conceded (away)1.06

Model expected combined goals3.03

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%

No41%

Rate per Team

Gençlerbirliği S.K. — BTTS matches (home)59%

Fenerbahçe — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%

Under 8.544%

Over 9.545%

Under 9.555%

Over 10.536%

Under 10.564%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Gençlerbirliği S.K. (home)

Corners for4.5

Corners against5.2

Fenerbahçe (away)

Corners for6.4

Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Fenerbahçe

10 10 12 8 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Gençlerbirliği S.K. (home)

For2.1

Fenerbahçe (away)

For2.8

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.575%

Under 19.525%

Over 22.562%

Under 22.538%

Over 25.548%

Under 25.552%

Expected total shots25.79

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Shots Over 9.573%

Shots Over 11.557%

Shots Over 13.541%

Expected shots12.84

On Target Over 3.559%

On Target Over 4.543%

On Target Over 5.529%

Expected on target4.34

Fenerbahçe

Shots Over 9.573%

Shots Over 11.558%

Shots Over 13.542%

Expected shots12.95

On Target Over 3.558%

On Target Over 4.542%

On Target Over 5.528%

Expected on target4.30

Shots per Game

Gençlerbirliği S.K. — total shots (home)12.3

Fenerbahçe — total shots (away)14.7

Shots on Target

Gençlerbirliği S.K. — on target (home)4.4

Fenerbahçe — on target (away)5.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Inside the box6.44

Outside the box4.29

Fenerbahçe

Inside the box10.03

Outside the box7.12

Player Shots Gençlerbirliği S.K.

F. Tongya

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target14%

M. Mimaroğlu

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target13%

S. Koïta

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target15%

M. Niang

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target12%

A. Traoré

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Fenerbahçe

Talisca

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target77%

+1.5 On Target50%

Marco Asensio

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target28%

Y. En-Nesyri

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target25%

K. Aktürkoğlu

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target24%

N. Dorgeles

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Gençlerbirliği S.K. xG (home)1.04

Fenerbahçe xG (away)1.91

Average Possession

43.24% Possession 58.97%

Team Comparison Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Fenerbahçe

77.03% Pass accuracy 84.97%

324.79 Passes per match 485.26

0.15 Goals prevented -0.01

12.82 Fouls committed 11.97

3.15 Goalkeeper saves 2.38

1.76 Offsides 1.79

14.26 Tackles per match 17.5

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Fenerbahçe prediction analysis

Review Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Fenerbahçe with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights