Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Genk vs Club Brugge KV

Genk vs Club Brugge KV prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2025-12-26 12:30
Genk
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Club Brugge KV
Away

Prediction Summary

1
32%
X
27%
2
41%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Genk (Home)

Goals scored / match1.3
Goals conceded / match1.1
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate55%

Club Brugge KV (Away)

Goals scored / match1.75
Goals conceded / match1.15
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Genk
DWDDW
Club Brugge KV
WDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

75% +0.5 85%
35% +1.5 55%
20% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 10%
0% +4.5 10%
55% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Genk averages 1.3 goals scored at home, while Club Brugge KV averages 1.75 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
32%
Draw
27%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Genk 3 - 5 Club Brugge KV Away
Jul 2025 Genk(A) 1 - 2 Club Brugge KV Away
May 2025 Genk 0 - 2 Club Brugge KV Away
Apr 2025 Genk(A) 0 - 1 Club Brugge KV Away
Feb 2025 Genk 1 - 1 Club Brugge KV Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Genk won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Genk — unbeaten run (home)7
Genk — scoring streak (home)0
Club Brugge KV — winless run (away)1
Club Brugge KV — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Genk Win (1)32%
Draw (X)27%
Club Brugge KV Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

75% +0.5 85%
35% +1.5 55%
20% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 10%
0% +4.5 10%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

25% -0.5 15%
65% -1.5 45%
80% -2.5 85%
100% -3.5 90%
100% -4.5 90%

Genk vs Club Brugge KV — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Genk — scored (home)1.3
Genk — conceded (home)1.1
Club Brugge KV — scored (away)1.75
Club Brugge KV — conceded (away)1.15
Model expected combined goals2.42

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Genk — BTTS matches (home)55%
Club Brugge KV — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)60%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.578%
Under 7.522%
Over 8.575%
Under 8.525%
Over 9.568%
Under 9.532%
Over 10.563%
Under 10.537%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Genk (home)

Corners for7.3
Corners against3.8

Club Brugge KV (away)

Corners for5.5
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Genk
9 9 14 8 6
Club Brugge KV
12 8 16 8 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.570%
Under 2.530%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Genk (home)

For1.3

Club Brugge KV (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Genk — total shots (home)18.9
Club Brugge KV — total shots (away)14.6

Shots on Target

Genk — on target (home)6.3
Club Brugge KV — on target (away)5.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Genk

Inside the box10.12
Outside the box5.95

Club Brugge KV

Inside the box12.55
Outside the box4.88

Player Shots Genk

Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target35%
A. Bibout
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target19%
D. Heymans
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target19%
K. Karetsas
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target21%
A. Yokoyama
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target22%

Player Shots Club Brugge KV

C. Tzolis
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target83%
+1.5 On Target28%
N. Tresoldi
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target28%
A. Stanković
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
Carlos Forbs
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target5%
H. Vetlesen
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Genk xG (home)1.59
Club Brugge KV xG (away)2

Average Possession

58.07% Possession 60.35%

Team Comparison Genk vs Club Brugge KV

84.85% Pass accuracy 85.55%
518.93 Passes per match 548.35
0.08 Goals prevented -0.23
10.88 Fouls committed 9.95
2.95 Goalkeeper saves 2.75
1.98 Offsides 1.35
17.51 Tackles per match 14.43

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Genk vs Club Brugge KV prediction analysis

Review Genk vs Club Brugge KV with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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