Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Genk vs FC Basel 1893

Genk vs FC Basel 1893 prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-11-27 20:00
Genk
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
37%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
FC Basel 1893
Away

Prediction Summary

1
46%
X
29%
2
25%
Under 2.5
63%
BTTS No
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Genk (Home)

Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.14
Over 2.5 rate14%
BTTS rate57%

FC Basel 1893 (Away)

Goals scored / match0.75
Goals conceded / match2.25
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate75%

Team Form last 5 matches

Genk
LWDWW
FC Basel 1893
LLLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 75%
43% +1.5 0%
14% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
57% BTTS 75%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

Genk averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while FC Basel 1893 averages 0.75 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
46%
Draw
29%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS Yes
42%

Head-to-Head last 1

Nov 2025 Genk 2 - 1 FC Basel 1893 Home

In the last 1 meetings, Genk won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Genk — unbeaten run (home)5
Genk — scoring streak (home)4
FC Basel 1893 — winless run (away)4
FC Basel 1893 — clean sheets (away, last 4)0 of 4

1X2 Probability model

Genk Win (1)46%
Draw (X)29%
FC Basel 1893 Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 75%
43% +1.5 0%
14% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 25%
57% -1.5 100%
86% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Genk vs FC Basel 1893 — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Genk — scored (home)1.29
Genk — conceded (home)1.14
FC Basel 1893 — scored (away)0.75
FC Basel 1893 — conceded (away)2.25
Model expected combined goals2.17

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%
No58%

Rate per Team

Genk — BTTS matches (home)57%
FC Basel 1893 — BTTS matches (away)75%
Combined (simple average)66%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.593%
Under 4.57%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.581%
Under 6.519%
Over 7.581%
Under 7.519%
Over 8.541%
Under 8.559%
Over 9.541%
Under 9.559%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Genk (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.9

FC Basel 1893 (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Genk
14 7 15 12 8
FC Basel 1893
13 8 6 10 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.566%
Under 2.534%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Genk (home)

For1.4

FC Basel 1893 (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Genk — total shots (home)15.3
FC Basel 1893 — total shots (away)11.8

Shots on Target

Genk — on target (home)5.0
FC Basel 1893 — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Genk

Inside the box9.75
Outside the box4.42

FC Basel 1893

Inside the box8
Outside the box5.5

Player Shots Genk

Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target50%
D. Heymans
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target30%
K. Karetsas
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target18%
Z. El Ouahdi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target11%
J. Ito
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots FC Basel 1893

J. Agbonifo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target40%
X. Shaqiri
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Leroy
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Adjetey
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
P. Otele
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Genk xG (home)1.64
FC Basel 1893 xG (away)1.29

Average Possession

50.86% Possession 46.63%

Team Comparison Genk vs FC Basel 1893

84.25% Pass accuracy 80.5%
461.08 Passes per match 417.75
0.14 Goals prevented -0.16
11.29 Fouls committed 13.25
3 Goalkeeper saves 4.25
2 Offsides 2
17.67 Tackles per match 18.88

League average xG this season is 1.39 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Genk vs FC Basel 1893 prediction analysis

Review Genk vs FC Basel 1893 with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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