Prediction Analysis: Genk vs KVC Westerlo
Genk vs KVC Westerlo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Jupiler Pro League
2026-08-15
18:45
Genk
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
KVC Westerlo
Away
Prediction Summary
1
43%
X
26%
2
31%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Genk (Home)
Goals scored / match1.3
Goals conceded / match1.1
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate55%
KVC Westerlo (Away)
Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate35%
Team Form last 5 matches
Genk
DWDDW
KVC Westerlo
LLWLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
75%
+0.5
65%
35%
+1.5
35%
20%
+2.5
10%
0%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
5%
55%
BTTS
35%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.
Genk averages 1.3 goals scored at home, while KVC Westerlo averages 1.2 goals scored away.
Model Strength
53%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
43%
Draw
26%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
Head-to-Head last 5
May 2026
Genk
3 - 0
KVC Westerlo
Home
Apr 2026
Genk(A)
2 - 1
KVC Westerlo
Home
Dec 2025
Genk
1 - 1
KVC Westerlo
Draw
Nov 2025
Genk(A)
1 - 0
KVC Westerlo
Home
Jan 2025
Genk(A)
2 - 1
KVC Westerlo
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Genk won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Genk — unbeaten run (home)7
Genk — scoring streak (home)0
KVC Westerlo — winless run (away)1
KVC Westerlo — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Genk Win (1)43%
Draw (X)26%
KVC Westerlo Win (2)31%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
75%
+0.5
65%
35%
+1.5
35%
20%
+2.5
10%
0%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
5%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
25%
-0.5
35%
65%
-1.5
65%
80%
-2.5
90%
100%
-3.5
95%
100%
-4.5
95%
Genk vs KVC Westerlo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Genk — scored (home)1.3
Genk — conceded (home)1.1
KVC Westerlo — scored (away)1.2
KVC Westerlo — conceded (away)1.5
Model expected combined goals2.55
Both Teams To Score
Yes51%
No49%
Rate per Team
Genk — BTTS matches (home)55%
KVC Westerlo — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)45%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Genk (home)
Corners for7.3
Corners against3.8
KVC Westerlo (away)
Corners for4.7
Corners against6.0
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Genk
9
9
14
8
6
KVC Westerlo
7
9
13
7
12
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.565%
Under 2.535%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5
Yellow Cards per Team
Genk (home)
For1.3
KVC Westerlo (away)
For1.8
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.582%
Under 19.518%
Over 22.570%
Under 22.530%
Over 25.556%
Under 25.544%
Expected total shots27.75
Genk
Shots Over 9.587%
Shots Over 11.576%
Shots Over 13.563%
Expected shots15.84
On Target Over 3.572%
On Target Over 4.557%
On Target Over 5.541%
Expected on target5.20
KVC Westerlo
Shots Over 9.567%
Shots Over 11.550%
Shots Over 13.534%
Expected shots11.91
On Target Over 3.556%
On Target Over 4.539%
On Target Over 5.525%
Expected on target4.10
Shots per Game
Genk — total shots (home)18.9
KVC Westerlo — total shots (away)13.5
Shots on Target
Genk — on target (home)6.3
KVC Westerlo — on target (away)4.8
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Genk
Inside the box10.12
Outside the box5.95
KVC Westerlo
Inside the box9.75
Outside the box4.6
Player Shots Genk
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target35%
A. Bibout
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target19%
D. Heymans
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target19%
K. Karetsas
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target21%
A. Yokoyama
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target22%
Player Shots KVC Westerlo
Nacho Ferri
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target42%
J. Alcócer
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target9%
M. Frigan
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
I. Sakamoto
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Sayyadmanesh
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target10%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Genk xG (home)1.59
KVC Westerlo xG (away)1.54
Average Possession
58.07%
Possession
49.33%
Team Comparison Genk vs KVC Westerlo
84.85%
Pass accuracy
79.2%
518.93
Passes per match
397.68
0.08
Goals prevented
0.03
10.88
Fouls committed
11.2
2.95
Goalkeeper saves
2.8
1.98
Offsides
1
17.51
Tackles per match
16.2
League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Genk vs KVC Westerlo prediction analysis
Review Genk vs KVC Westerlo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights