Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Genk vs KVC Westerlo

Genk vs KVC Westerlo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2025-12-14 18:15
Genk
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
64%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
KVC Westerlo
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
22%
2
30%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Genk (Home)

Goals scored / match1.3
Goals conceded / match1.1
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate55%

KVC Westerlo (Away)

Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Genk
DWDDW
KVC Westerlo
LLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

75% +0.5 65%
35% +1.5 35%
20% +2.5 10%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
55% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 64%. Model confidence is Medium.

Genk averages 1.3 goals scored at home, while KVC Westerlo averages 1.2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
22%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
65%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Genk 3 - 0 KVC Westerlo Home
Apr 2026 Genk(A) 2 - 1 KVC Westerlo Home
Dec 2025 Genk 1 - 1 KVC Westerlo Draw
Nov 2025 Genk(A) 1 - 0 KVC Westerlo Home
Jan 2025 Genk(A) 2 - 1 KVC Westerlo Home

In the last 5 meetings, Genk won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Genk — unbeaten run (home)7
Genk — scoring streak (home)0
KVC Westerlo — winless run (away)1
KVC Westerlo — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Genk Win (1)48%
Draw (X)22%
KVC Westerlo Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

75% +0.5 65%
35% +1.5 35%
20% +2.5 10%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

25% -0.5 35%
65% -1.5 65%
80% -2.5 90%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

Genk vs KVC Westerlo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Genk — scored (home)1.3
Genk — conceded (home)1.1
KVC Westerlo — scored (away)1.2
KVC Westerlo — conceded (away)1.5
Model expected combined goals3.31

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%
No35%

Rate per Team

Genk — BTTS matches (home)55%
KVC Westerlo — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.580%
Under 7.520%
Over 8.578%
Under 8.522%
Over 9.565%
Under 9.535%
Over 10.563%
Under 10.537%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Genk (home)

Corners for7.3
Corners against3.8

KVC Westerlo (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Genk
9 9 14 8 6
KVC Westerlo
7 9 13 7 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.565%
Under 2.535%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Genk (home)

For1.3

KVC Westerlo (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Genk — total shots (home)18.9
KVC Westerlo — total shots (away)13.5

Shots on Target

Genk — on target (home)6.3
KVC Westerlo — on target (away)4.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Genk

Inside the box10.12
Outside the box5.95

KVC Westerlo

Inside the box9.75
Outside the box4.6

Player Shots Genk

Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target35%
A. Bibout
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target19%
D. Heymans
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target19%
K. Karetsas
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target21%
A. Yokoyama
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target22%

Player Shots KVC Westerlo

Nacho Ferri
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target42%
J. Alcócer
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target9%
M. Frigan
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
I. Sakamoto
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Sayyadmanesh
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Genk xG (home)1.59
KVC Westerlo xG (away)1.54

Average Possession

58.07% Possession 49.33%

Team Comparison Genk vs KVC Westerlo

84.85% Pass accuracy 79.2%
518.93 Passes per match 397.68
0.08 Goals prevented 0.03
10.88 Fouls committed 11.2
2.95 Goalkeeper saves 2.8
1.98 Offsides 1
17.51 Tackles per match 16.2

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Genk vs KVC Westerlo prediction analysis

Review Genk vs KVC Westerlo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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