Prediction Analysis: Genk vs Lech Poznan
Genk vs Lech Poznan prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Genk
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Lech Poznan
Away
Prediction Summary
1
28%
X
25%
2
47%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Genk (Home)
Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.14
Over 2.5 rate14%
BTTS rate57%
Lech Poznan (Away)
Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate100%
Team Form last 5 matches
Genk
LWDWW
Lech Poznan
WL
Goals Comparison rate per team
71%
+0.5
100%
43%
+1.5
100%
14%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
57%
BTTS
100%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.
Genk averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while Lech Poznan averages 2 goals scored away.
Model Strength
54%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
28%
Draw
25%
Away Win
47%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
Head-to-Head last 2
Aug 2025
Genk
1 - 2
Lech Poznan
Away
Aug 2025
Genk(A)
5 - 1
Lech Poznan
Home
In the last 2 meetings, Genk won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Genk — unbeaten run (home)5
Genk — scoring streak (home)4
Lech Poznan — winless run (away)0
Lech Poznan — clean sheets (away, last 1)0 of 1
1X2 Probability model
Genk Win (1)28%
Draw (X)25%
Lech Poznan Win (2)47%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
71%
+0.5
100%
43%
+1.5
100%
14%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
29%
-0.5
0%
57%
-1.5
0%
86%
-2.5
100%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Genk vs Lech Poznan — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Genk — scored (home)1.29
Genk — conceded (home)1.14
Lech Poznan — scored (away)2
Lech Poznan — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals2.71
Both Teams To Score
Yes54%
No46%
Rate per Team
Genk — BTTS matches (home)57%
Lech Poznan — BTTS matches (away)100%
Combined (simple average)78.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.593%
Under 4.57%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.593%
Under 6.57%
Over 7.593%
Under 7.57%
Over 8.579%
Under 8.521%
Over 9.579%
Under 9.521%
Over 10.579%
Under 10.521%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Genk (home)
Corners for5.4
Corners against4.9
Lech Poznan (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Genk
14
7
15
12
8
Lech Poznan
8
12
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.529%
Under 2.571%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.7
Yellow Cards per Team
Genk (home)
For1.4
Lech Poznan (away)
For—
Shots per Game
Genk — total shots (home)15.3
Lech Poznan — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Genk — on target (home)5.0
Lech Poznan — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Genk
Inside the box9.75
Outside the box4.42
Lech Poznan
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player Shots Genk
Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target50%
D. Heymans
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target30%
K. Karetsas
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target18%
Z. El Ouahdi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target11%
J. Ito
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Lech Poznan
Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Genk xG (home)1.64
Lech Poznan xG (away)-
Average Possession
50.86%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Genk vs Lech Poznan
84.25%
Pass accuracy
0%
461.08
Passes per match
-
0.14
Goals prevented
-
11.29
Fouls committed
-
3
Goalkeeper saves
-
2
Offsides
-
17.67
Tackles per match
-
League average xG this season is 1.39 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Genk vs Lech Poznan prediction analysis
Review Genk vs Lech Poznan with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights