Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Genk vs OH Leuven

Genk vs OH Leuven prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Jupiler Pro League 2025-11-30 15:00
Genk
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-0
OH Leuven
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
25%
2
24%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Genk (Home)

Goals scored / match1.3
Goals conceded / match1.1
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate55%

OH Leuven (Away)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Genk
DWDDW
OH Leuven
LDWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

75% +0.5 65%
35% +1.5 20%
20% +2.5 10%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
55% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Genk averages 1.3 goals scored at home, while OH Leuven averages 0.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
25%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Genk(A) 2 - 0 OH Leuven Home
Apr 2026 Genk 0 - 0 OH Leuven Draw
Nov 2025 Genk 2 - 1 OH Leuven Home
Aug 2025 Genk(A) 2 - 1 OH Leuven Home
Jan 2025 Genk 2 - 0 OH Leuven Home

In the last 5 meetings, Genk won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Genk — unbeaten run (home)7
Genk — scoring streak (home)0
OH Leuven — winless run (away)5
OH Leuven — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Genk Win (1)51%
Draw (X)25%
OH Leuven Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

75% +0.5 65%
35% +1.5 20%
20% +2.5 10%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

25% -0.5 35%
65% -1.5 80%
80% -2.5 90%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Genk vs OH Leuven — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Genk — scored (home)1.3
Genk — conceded (home)1.1
OH Leuven — scored (away)0.95
OH Leuven — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.57

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

Genk — BTTS matches (home)55%
OH Leuven — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.583%
Under 7.517%
Over 8.575%
Under 8.525%
Over 9.565%
Under 9.535%
Over 10.560%
Under 10.540%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Genk (home)

Corners for7.3
Corners against3.8

OH Leuven (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against6.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Genk
9 9 14 8 6
OH Leuven
7 10 12 20 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.565%
Under 2.535%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Genk (home)

For1.3

OH Leuven (away)

For3.2

Shots per Game

Genk — total shots (home)18.9
OH Leuven — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

Genk — on target (home)6.3
OH Leuven — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Genk

Inside the box10.12
Outside the box5.95

OH Leuven

Inside the box8.93
Outside the box3.93

Player Shots Genk

Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target35%
A. Bibout
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target19%
D. Heymans
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target19%
K. Karetsas
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target21%
A. Yokoyama
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target22%

Player Shots OH Leuven

C. Terho
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target8%
C. Ikwuemesi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
M. Maertens
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. Kaba
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target3%
K. Vaesen
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Genk xG (home)1.59
OH Leuven xG (away)1.23

Average Possession

58.07% Possession 45.85%

Team Comparison Genk vs OH Leuven

84.85% Pass accuracy 76.98%
518.93 Passes per match 348.93
0.08 Goals prevented 0.07
10.88 Fouls committed 14.45
2.95 Goalkeeper saves 3.38
1.98 Offsides 2.2
17.51 Tackles per match 17.28

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Genk vs OH Leuven prediction analysis

Review Genk vs OH Leuven with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top