What markets are included in the Genoa vs AC Milan prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Genoa vs AC Milan prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Genoa vs AC Milan

Genoa vs AC Milan prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-05-05 18:45

Genoa

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

49%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

AC Milan

Away

Prediction Summary

32%

26%

42%

Under 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

53%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Genoa (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match1.32

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate53%

AC Milan (Away)

Goals scored / match1.63

Goals conceded / match1.42

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Genoa

WLDLL

AC Milan

WLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 95%

37% +1.5 47%

0% +2.5 16%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Genoa averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while AC Milan averages 1.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

32%

Draw

26%

Away Win

42%

Over 2.5

49%

BTTS Yes

53%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Genoa 1 - 2 AC Milan Away

Jan 2026 Genoa(A) 1 - 1 AC Milan Draw

May 2025 Genoa 1 - 2 AC Milan Away

Dec 2024 Genoa(A) 0 - 0 AC Milan Draw

May 2024 Genoa(A) 3 - 3 AC Milan Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Genoa won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Genoa — unbeaten run (home)0

Genoa — scoring streak (home)2

AC Milan — winless run (away)1

AC Milan — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Genoa Win (1)32%

Draw (X)26%

AC Milan Win (2)42%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 95%

37% +1.5 47%

0% +2.5 16%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 5%

63% -1.5 53%

100% -2.5 84%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Genoa vs AC Milan — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Genoa — scored (home)1.11

Genoa — conceded (home)1.32

AC Milan — scored (away)1.63

AC Milan — conceded (away)1.42

Model expected combined goals2.62

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%

No47%

Rate per Team

Genoa — BTTS matches (home)53%

AC Milan — BTTS matches (away)68%

Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.577%

Under 7.523%

Over 8.556%

Under 8.544%

Over 9.537%

Under 9.563%

Over 10.535%

Under 10.565%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Genoa (home)

Corners for4.6

Corners against4.9

AC Milan (away)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Genoa

9 15 8 7 14

AC Milan

9 15 7 6 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.571%

Under 2.529%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Genoa (home)

For1.9

AC Milan (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Genoa — total shots (home)11.6

AC Milan — total shots (away)14.0

Shots on Target

Genoa — on target (home)4.1

AC Milan — on target (away)5.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Genoa

Inside the box6.74

Outside the box3.39

AC Milan

Inside the box9.55

Outside the box5.26

Player Shots Genoa

A. Pinamonti

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target28%

K. De Winter

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target12%

F. Miretti

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target8%

C. Ekuban

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target6%

L. Venturino

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots AC Milan

I. Bennacer

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target17%

Emerson Royal

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target6%

+1.5 On Target6%

João Félix

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target13%

T. Reijnders

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target51%

+1.5 On Target16%

T. Abraham

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Genoa xG (home)0.99

AC Milan xG (away)1.67

Average Possession

45.61% Possession 54.08%

Team Comparison Genoa vs AC Milan

78.32% Pass accuracy 87.21%

372.39 Passes per match 465.32

0.1 Goals prevented -0.26

13.08 Fouls committed 10.92

3.14 Goalkeeper saves 2.71

1.53 Offsides 1.67

17.68 Tackles per match 14.53

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Genoa vs AC Milan prediction analysis

Review Genoa vs AC Milan with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights