Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Genoa vs Como

Genoa vs Como prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Serie A 2024-11-07 19:45
Genoa
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Como
Away

Prediction Summary

1
37%
X
27%
2
37%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Genoa (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.32
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate53%

Como (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Genoa
WLDLL
Como
LDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 68%
37% +1.5 26%
0% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Genoa averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Como averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
37%
Draw
27%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Genoa 0 - 2 Como Away
Sep 2025 Genoa(A) 1 - 1 Como Draw
Apr 2025 Genoa(A) 0 - 1 Como Away
Nov 2024 Genoa 1 - 1 Como Draw
Apr 2023 Genoa(A) 2 - 2 Como Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Genoa won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Genoa — unbeaten run (home)0
Genoa — scoring streak (home)2
Como — winless run (away)1
Como — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Genoa Win (1)37%
Draw (X)27%
Como Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 68%
37% +1.5 26%
0% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 32%
63% -1.5 74%
100% -2.5 84%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Genoa vs Como — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Genoa — scored (home)1.11
Genoa — conceded (home)1.32
Como — scored (away)1.11
Como — conceded (away)1.37
Model expected combined goals2.55

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Genoa — BTTS matches (home)53%
Como — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.582%
Under 4.518%
Over 5.574%
Under 5.526%
Over 6.569%
Under 6.531%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Genoa (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against4.9

Como (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Genoa
9 15 8 7 14
Como
9 10 6 10 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Genoa (home)

For1.9

Como (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Genoa — total shots (home)11.6
Como — total shots (away)12.7

Shots on Target

Genoa — on target (home)4.1
Como — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Genoa

Inside the box6.74
Outside the box3.39

Como

Inside the box8.68
Outside the box5.03

Player Shots Genoa

A. Pinamonti
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target28%
K. De Winter
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target12%
F. Miretti
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target8%
C. Ekuban
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target6%
L. Venturino
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Como

J. Ikoné
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target15%
N. Paz
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target20%
Assane Diao
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target27%
P. Cutrone
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target18%
A. Dossena
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Genoa xG (home)0.99
Como xG (away)1.18

Average Possession

45.61% Possession 54.79%

Team Comparison Genoa vs Como

78.32% Pass accuracy 84.45%
372.39 Passes per match 464.71
0.1 Goals prevented -0.05
13.08 Fouls committed 13.24
3.14 Goalkeeper saves 2.47
1.53 Offsides 1.81
17.68 Tackles per match 17.45

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Genoa vs Como prediction analysis

Review Genoa vs Como with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top