What markets are included in the Genoa vs Fiorentina prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Genoa vs Fiorentina prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Genoa vs Fiorentina

Genoa vs Fiorentina prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Serie A 2026-10-11 16:30

Genoa

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

47%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Fiorentina

Away

Prediction Summary

40%

27%

34%

+2.5 Goals

47%

BTTS

52%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Genoa (Home)

Goals scored / match1.16

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate47%

Fiorentina (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match1.53

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Genoa

LLDDL

Fiorentina

DWDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 63%

42% +1.5 32%

16% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Genoa averages 1.16 goals scored at home, while Fiorentina averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

40%

Draw

27%

Away Win

34%

Over 2.5

47%

BTTS Yes

52%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Genoa(A) 0 - 0 Fiorentina Draw

Nov 2025 Genoa 2 - 2 Fiorentina Draw

Feb 2025 Genoa(A) 1 - 2 Fiorentina Away

Oct 2024 Genoa 0 - 1 Fiorentina Away

Apr 2024 Genoa(A) 1 - 1 Fiorentina Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Genoa won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Genoa — unbeaten run (home)0

Genoa — scoring streak (home)1

Fiorentina — winless run (away)0

Fiorentina — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Genoa Win (1)40%

Draw (X)27%

Fiorentina Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 63%

42% +1.5 32%

16% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 37%

58% -1.5 68%

84% -2.5 95%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Genoa vs Fiorentina — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Genoa — scored (home)1.16

Genoa — conceded (home)1.37

Fiorentina — scored (away)1.05

Fiorentina — conceded (away)1.53

Model expected combined goals2.55

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%

No48%

Rate per Team

Genoa — BTTS matches (home)47%

Fiorentina — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.543%

Under 9.557%

Over 10.533%

Under 10.567%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Genoa (home)

Corners for3.6

Corners against3.9

Fiorentina (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Genoa

Fiorentina

11 9 7 8 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.590%

Under 2.510%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Genoa (home)

For1.7

Fiorentina (away)

For2.3

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.568%

Under 19.532%

Over 22.553%

Under 22.547%

Over 25.539%

Under 25.561%

Expected total shots24.02

Genoa

Shots Over 9.573%

Shots Over 11.558%

Shots Over 13.542%

Expected shots13.00

On Target Over 3.561%

On Target Over 4.544%

On Target Over 5.529%

Expected on target4.38

Fiorentina

Shots Over 9.559%

Shots Over 11.542%

Shots Over 13.527%

Expected shots11.02

On Target Over 3.548%

On Target Over 4.531%

On Target Over 5.518%

Expected on target3.66

Shots per Game

Genoa — total shots (home)12.1

Fiorentina — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Genoa — on target (home)3.9

Fiorentina — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Genoa

Inside the box7.11

Outside the box4.34

Fiorentina

Inside the box8.05

Outside the box4.82

Player Shots Genoa

L. Colombo

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target16%

Vítinha

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

R. Malinovskyi

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target15%

L. Østigård

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target7%

T. Baldanzi

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Fiorentina

M. Kean

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target27%

R. Mandragora

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target3%

R. Piccoli

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target9%

A. Guðmundsson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target9%

F. Parisi

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Genoa xG (home)1.2

Fiorentina xG (away)1.4

Average Possession

48.71% Possession 50.97%

Team Comparison Genoa vs Fiorentina

79.5% Pass accuracy 83.89%

387.29 Passes per match 423.61

0.31 Goals prevented 0.06

12.37 Fouls committed 12.5

2.92 Goalkeeper saves 3.34

1.43 Offsides 1.94

17.34 Tackles per match 12.26

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Genoa vs Fiorentina prediction analysis

Review Genoa vs Fiorentina with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights