Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Genoa vs Frosinone

Genoa vs Frosinone prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Serie A 2026-09-13 16:30
Genoa
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Frosinone
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
25%
2
27%
+2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
53%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Genoa (Home)

Goals scored / match1.16
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate47%

Frosinone (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Genoa
LLDDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 0%
42% +1.5 0%
16% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Genoa averages 1.16 goals scored at home, while Frosinone averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
25%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 4

Mar 2024 Genoa 1 - 1 Frosinone Draw
Nov 2023 Genoa(A) 1 - 2 Frosinone Away
May 2023 Genoa(A) 2 - 3 Frosinone Away
Dec 2022 Genoa 1 - 0 Frosinone Home

In the last 4 meetings, Genoa won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Genoa — unbeaten run (home)0
Genoa — scoring streak (home)1

1X2 Probability model

Genoa Win (1)48%
Draw (X)25%
Frosinone Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 0%
42% +1.5 0%
16% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 100%
58% -1.5 100%
84% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Genoa vs Frosinone — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Genoa — scored (home)1.16
Genoa — conceded (home)1.37
Frosinone — scored (away)0
Frosinone — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.66

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Genoa — BTTS matches (home)47%
Frosinone — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)23.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Genoa (home)

Corners for3.6
Corners against3.9

Frosinone (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Genoa
5 8 7 8 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.548%
Under 1.552%
Over 2.548%
Under 2.552%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Genoa (home)

For1.7

Frosinone (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.569%
Under 19.531%
Over 22.555%
Under 22.545%
Over 25.541%
Under 25.559%
Expected total shots24.37

Genoa

Shots Over 9.574%
Shots Over 11.559%
Shots Over 13.544%
Expected shots13.19
On Target Over 3.560%
On Target Over 4.542%
On Target Over 5.528%
Expected on target4.31

Frosinone

Shots Over 9.561%
Shots Over 11.543%
Shots Over 13.528%
Expected shots11.18
On Target Over 3.549%
On Target Over 4.532%
On Target Over 5.519%
Expected on target3.71

Shots per Game

Genoa — total shots (home)12.1
Frosinone — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Genoa — on target (home)3.9
Frosinone — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Genoa

Inside the box7.11
Outside the box4.34

Frosinone

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Genoa

L. Colombo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target16%
Vítinha
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
R. Malinovskyi
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target15%
L. Østigård
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target7%
T. Baldanzi
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Frosinone

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Genoa xG (home)1.2
Frosinone xG (away)-

Average Possession

48.71% Possession -%

Team Comparison Genoa vs Frosinone

79.5% Pass accuracy 0%
387.29 Passes per match -
0.31 Goals prevented -
12.37 Fouls committed -
2.92 Goalkeeper saves -
1.43 Offsides -
17.34 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Genoa vs Frosinone prediction analysis

Review Genoa vs Frosinone with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top