What markets are included in the Genoa vs Inter prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Genoa vs Inter prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Genoa vs Inter

Genoa vs Inter prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-12-14 17:00

Genoa

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

46%

Confidence

Low

Score

0-1

Inter

Away

Prediction Summary

23%

25%

51%

Under 2.5

54%

BTTS No

51%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Genoa (Home)

Goals scored / match1.16

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate47%

Inter (Away)

Goals scored / match2.05

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Genoa

LLDDL

Inter

DDWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 95%

42% +1.5 68%

16% +2.5 26%

0% +3.5 11%

0% +4.5 5%

47% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Genoa averages 1.16 goals scored at home, while Inter averages 2.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

23%

Draw

25%

Away Win

51%

Over 2.5

46%

BTTS Yes

49%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Genoa(A) 0 - 2 Inter Away

Dec 2025 Genoa 1 - 2 Inter Away

Feb 2025 Genoa(A) 0 - 1 Inter Away

Aug 2024 Genoa 2 - 2 Inter Draw

Mar 2024 Genoa(A) 1 - 2 Inter Away

In the last 5 meetings, Genoa won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Genoa — unbeaten run (home)0

Genoa — scoring streak (home)1

Inter — winless run (away)1

Inter — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Genoa Win (1)23%

Draw (X)25%

Inter Win (2)51%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 95%

42% +1.5 68%

16% +2.5 26%

0% +3.5 11%

0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 5%

58% -1.5 32%

84% -2.5 74%

100% -3.5 89%

100% -4.5 95%

Genoa vs Inter — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Genoa — scored (home)1.16

Genoa — conceded (home)1.37

Inter — scored (away)2.05

Inter — conceded (away)1

Model expected combined goals2.51

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%

No51%

Rate per Team

Genoa — BTTS matches (home)47%

Inter — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)44.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.589%

Under 4.511%

Over 5.577%

Under 5.523%

Over 6.571%

Under 6.529%

Over 7.550%

Under 7.550%

Over 8.537%

Under 8.563%

Over 9.529%

Under 9.571%

Over 10.516%

Under 10.584%

Expected total corners (blended average)7.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Genoa (home)

Corners for3.6

Corners against3.9

Inter (away)

Corners for5.3

Corners against2.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Genoa

5 8 7 8 7

Inter

10 11 6 12 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.587%

Under 2.513%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Genoa (home)

For1.7

Inter (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Genoa — total shots (home)12.1

Inter — total shots (away)16.0

Shots on Target

Genoa — on target (home)3.9

Inter — on target (away)5.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Genoa

Inside the box7.11

Outside the box4.34

Inter

Inside the box12.24

Outside the box4.87

Player Shots Genoa

L. Colombo

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target16%

Vítinha

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

R. Malinovskyi

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target15%

L. Østigård

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target7%

T. Baldanzi

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Inter

Lautaro Martínez

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target40%

M. Thuram

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target76%

+1.5 On Target24%

H. Çalhanoğlu

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target23%

F. Esposito

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target17%

F. Dimarco

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Genoa xG (home)1.2

Inter xG (away)1.9

Average Possession

48.71% Possession 59.76%

Team Comparison Genoa vs Inter

79.5% Pass accuracy 87.37%

387.29 Passes per match 547.45

0.31 Goals prevented -0.25

12.37 Fouls committed 13.13

2.92 Goalkeeper saves 2.03

1.43 Offsides 1.65

17.34 Tackles per match 15.16

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Genoa vs Inter prediction analysis

Review Genoa vs Inter with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights