What markets are included in the Genoa vs Lecce prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Genoa vs Lecce prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Genoa vs Lecce

Genoa vs Lecce prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-03-14 19:45

Genoa

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

38%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Lecce

Away

Prediction Summary

45%

28%

27%

Under 2.5

62%

BTTS No

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Genoa (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match1.32

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate53%

Lecce (Away)

Goals scored / match0.74

Goals conceded / match1.42

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Genoa

WLDLL

Lecce

WWDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 53%

37% +1.5 11%

0% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

Genoa averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Lecce averages 0.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength

62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

45%

Draw

28%

Away Win

27%

Over 2.5

38%

BTTS Yes

44%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Genoa(A) 0 - 1 Lecce Away

Aug 2025 Genoa 0 - 0 Lecce Draw

Mar 2025 Genoa 2 - 1 Lecce Home

Jan 2025 Genoa(A) 0 - 0 Lecce Draw

Jan 2024 Genoa 2 - 1 Lecce Home

In the last 5 meetings, Genoa won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Genoa — unbeaten run (home)0

Genoa — scoring streak (home)2

Lecce — winless run (away)0

Lecce — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Genoa Win (1)45%

Draw (X)28%

Lecce Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 53%

37% +1.5 11%

0% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 47%

63% -1.5 89%

100% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Genoa vs Lecce — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Genoa — scored (home)1.11

Genoa — conceded (home)1.32

Lecce — scored (away)0.74

Lecce — conceded (away)1.42

Model expected combined goals2.21

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%

No56%

Rate per Team

Genoa — BTTS matches (home)53%

Lecce — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.558%

Under 8.542%

Over 9.542%

Under 9.558%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Genoa (home)

Corners for4.6

Corners against4.9

Lecce (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against6.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Genoa

9 15 8 7 14

Lecce

15 7 9 7 18

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Genoa (home)

For1.9

Lecce (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Genoa — total shots (home)11.6

Lecce — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

Genoa — on target (home)4.1

Lecce — on target (away)3.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Genoa

Inside the box6.74

Outside the box3.39

Lecce

Inside the box6.68

Outside the box5.26

Player Shots Genoa

A. Pinamonti

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target28%

K. De Winter

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target12%

F. Miretti

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target8%

C. Ekuban

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target6%

L. Venturino

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Lecce

K. N’Dri

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target9%

Tete Morente

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target13%

N. Krstović

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target24%

P. Dorgu

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target14%

S. Pierotti

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Genoa xG (home)0.99

Lecce xG (away)0.92

Average Possession

45.61% Possession 43.55%

Team Comparison Genoa vs Lecce

78.32% Pass accuracy 77.63%

372.39 Passes per match 356.13

0.1 Goals prevented 0.18

13.08 Fouls committed 12.24

3.14 Goalkeeper saves 3.39

1.53 Offsides 1.37

17.68 Tackles per match 16.5

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Genoa vs Lecce prediction analysis

Review Genoa vs Lecce with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights