What markets are included in the Genoa vs Napoli prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Genoa vs Napoli prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Genoa vs Napoli

Genoa vs Napoli prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2026-08-23 16:30

Genoa

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

43%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Napoli

Away

Prediction Summary

29%

27%

43%

+2.5 Goals

43%

BTTS

48%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Genoa (Home)

Goals scored / match1.16

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate47%

Napoli (Away)

Goals scored / match1.32

Goals conceded / match0.95

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Genoa

LLDDL

Napoli

WWLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 74%

42% +1.5 42%

16% +2.5 16%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Genoa averages 1.16 goals scored at home, while Napoli averages 1.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

29%

Draw

27%

Away Win

43%

Over 2.5

43%

BTTS Yes

48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Genoa 2 - 3 Napoli Away

Oct 2025 Genoa(A) 1 - 2 Napoli Away

May 2025 Genoa(A) 2 - 2 Napoli Draw

Dec 2024 Genoa 1 - 2 Napoli Away

Feb 2024 Genoa(A) 1 - 1 Napoli Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Genoa won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Genoa — unbeaten run (home)0

Genoa — scoring streak (home)1

Napoli — winless run (away)0

Napoli — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Genoa Win (1)29%

Draw (X)27%

Napoli Win (2)43%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 74%

42% +1.5 42%

16% +2.5 16%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 26%

58% -1.5 58%

84% -2.5 84%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Genoa vs Napoli — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Genoa — scored (home)1.16

Genoa — conceded (home)1.37

Napoli — scored (away)1.32

Napoli — conceded (away)0.95

Model expected combined goals2.4

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%

No52%

Rate per Team

Genoa — BTTS matches (home)47%

Napoli — BTTS matches (away)37%

Combined (simple average)42%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.543%

Under 9.557%

Over 10.533%

Under 10.567%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Genoa (home)

Corners for3.6

Corners against3.9

Napoli (away)

Corners for4.7

Corners against2.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Genoa

Napoli

12 5 8 7 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.585%

Under 1.515%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Genoa (home)

For1.7

Napoli (away)

For1.7

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.564%

Under 19.536%

Over 22.549%

Under 22.551%

Over 25.535%

Under 25.565%

Expected total shots23.14

Genoa

Shots Over 9.564%

Shots Over 11.547%

Shots Over 13.532%

Expected shots11.61

On Target Over 3.550%

On Target Over 4.532%

On Target Over 5.519%

Expected on target3.73

Napoli

Shots Over 9.563%

Shots Over 11.546%

Shots Over 13.531%

Expected shots11.53

On Target Over 3.552%

On Target Over 4.535%

On Target Over 5.521%

Expected on target3.87

Shots per Game

Genoa — total shots (home)12.1

Napoli — total shots (away)12.6

Shots on Target

Genoa — on target (home)3.9

Napoli — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Genoa

Inside the box7.11

Outside the box4.34

Napoli

Inside the box8.47

Outside the box4.74

Player Shots Genoa

L. Colombo

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target16%

Vítinha

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

R. Malinovskyi

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target15%

L. Østigård

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target7%

T. Baldanzi

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Napoli

Alisson Santos

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target43%

S. McTominay

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target30%

R. Højlund

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target21%

K. De Bruyne

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target11%

A. Zambo Anguissa

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Genoa xG (home)1.2

Napoli xG (away)1.35

Average Possession

48.71% Possession 58.87%

Team Comparison Genoa vs Napoli

79.5% Pass accuracy 86.66%

387.29 Passes per match 556.63

0.31 Goals prevented -0.18

12.37 Fouls committed 11.18

2.92 Goalkeeper saves 2.03

1.43 Offsides 1.7

17.34 Tackles per match 12.16

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Genoa vs Napoli prediction analysis

Review Genoa vs Napoli with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights