Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Genoa vs Torino

Genoa vs Torino prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2024-12-07 14:00
Genoa
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Torino
Away

Prediction Summary

1
34%
X
24%
2
41%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Genoa (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.32
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate53%

Torino (Away)

Goals scored / match1.16
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Genoa
WLDLL
Torino
LLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 68%
37% +1.5 42%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Genoa averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Torino averages 1.16 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
34%
Draw
24%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Genoa 3 - 0 Torino Home
Oct 2025 Genoa(A) 1 - 2 Torino Away
Feb 2025 Genoa(A) 1 - 1 Torino Draw
Dec 2024 Genoa 0 - 0 Torino Draw
Jan 2024 Genoa 0 - 0 Torino Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Genoa won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Genoa — unbeaten run (home)0
Genoa — scoring streak (home)2
Torino — winless run (away)5
Torino — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Genoa Win (1)34%
Draw (X)24%
Torino Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 68%
37% +1.5 42%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 32%
63% -1.5 58%
100% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Genoa vs Torino — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Genoa — scored (home)1.11
Genoa — conceded (home)1.32
Torino — scored (away)1.16
Torino — conceded (away)1.42
Model expected combined goals3.02

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

Genoa — BTTS matches (home)53%
Torino — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Genoa (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against4.9

Torino (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Genoa
9 15 8 7 14
Torino
7 6 12 7 3

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Genoa (home)

For1.9

Torino (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Genoa — total shots (home)11.6
Torino — total shots (away)9.4

Shots on Target

Genoa — on target (home)4.1
Torino — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Genoa

Inside the box6.74
Outside the box3.39

Torino

Inside the box6.26
Outside the box3.89

Player Shots Genoa

A. Pinamonti
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target28%
K. De Winter
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target12%
F. Miretti
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target8%
C. Ekuban
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target6%
L. Venturino
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Torino

C. Casadei
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target13%
D. Zapata
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target29%
C. Adams
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target25%
E. Elmas
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target15%
N. Vlašić
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Genoa xG (home)0.99
Torino xG (away)0.93

Average Possession

45.61% Possession 47.45%

Team Comparison Genoa vs Torino

78.32% Pass accuracy 81.16%
372.39 Passes per match 405.37
0.1 Goals prevented 0.05
13.08 Fouls committed 12.71
3.14 Goalkeeper saves 3.86
1.53 Offsides 1.54
17.68 Tackles per match 12.32

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Genoa vs Torino prediction analysis

Review Genoa vs Torino with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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