Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Genoa vs Udinese

Genoa vs Udinese prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-04-04 18:45
Genoa
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Udinese
Away

Prediction Summary

1
41%
X
27%
2
33%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Genoa (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.32
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate53%

Udinese (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Genoa
WLDLL
Udinese
LLLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 68%
37% +1.5 26%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Genoa averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Udinese averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
41%
Draw
27%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Genoa 0 - 2 Udinese Away
Dec 2025 Genoa(A) 2 - 1 Udinese Home
Apr 2025 Genoa 1 - 0 Udinese Home
Dec 2024 Genoa(A) 2 - 0 Udinese Home
Feb 2024 Genoa 2 - 0 Udinese Home

In the last 5 meetings, Genoa won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Genoa — unbeaten run (home)0
Genoa — scoring streak (home)2
Udinese — winless run (away)1
Udinese — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Genoa Win (1)41%
Draw (X)27%
Udinese Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 68%
37% +1.5 26%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 32%
63% -1.5 74%
100% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Genoa vs Udinese — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Genoa — scored (home)1.11
Genoa — conceded (home)1.32
Udinese — scored (away)1
Udinese — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Genoa — BTTS matches (home)53%
Udinese — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.589%
Under 4.511%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Genoa (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against4.9

Udinese (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Genoa
9 15 8 7 14
Udinese
11 9 7 15 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Genoa (home)

For1.9

Udinese (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Genoa — total shots (home)11.6
Udinese — total shots (away)10.9

Shots on Target

Genoa — on target (home)4.1
Udinese — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Genoa

Inside the box6.74
Outside the box3.39

Udinese

Inside the box7.11
Outside the box4.32

Player Shots Genoa

A. Pinamonti
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target28%
K. De Winter
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target12%
F. Miretti
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target8%
C. Ekuban
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target6%
L. Venturino
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Udinese

F. Thauvin
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target24%
K. Davis
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Lucca
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target21%
C. Kabasele
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Ekkelenkamp
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Genoa xG (home)0.99
Udinese xG (away)1.05

Average Possession

45.61% Possession 47.24%

Team Comparison Genoa vs Udinese

78.32% Pass accuracy 80.89%
372.39 Passes per match 388.42
0.1 Goals prevented -0.07
13.08 Fouls committed 14.21
3.14 Goalkeeper saves 3
1.53 Offsides 1.32
17.68 Tackles per match 14.82

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Genoa vs Udinese prediction analysis

Review Genoa vs Udinese with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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