Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Gent vs Antwerp

Gent vs Antwerp prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2025-12-14 12:30
Gent
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
36%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Antwerp
Away

Prediction Summary

1
55%
X
27%
2
18%
Under 2.5
64%
BTTS No
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Gent (Home)

Goals scored / match1.38
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate48%

Antwerp (Away)

Goals scored / match0.85
Goals conceded / match1.1
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate30%

Team Form last 5 matches

Gent
DLDDD
Antwerp
WDLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 45%
38% +1.5 20%
19% +2.5 10%
10% +3.5 10%
0% +4.5 0%
48% BTTS 30%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 36%. Model confidence is Medium.

Gent averages 1.38 goals scored at home, while Antwerp averages 0.85 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
55%
Draw
27%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS Yes
38%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Gent 0 - 2 Antwerp Away
Sep 2025 Gent(A) 2 - 1 Antwerp Home
May 2025 Gent 0 - 3 Antwerp Away
Apr 2025 Gent(A) 1 - 0 Antwerp Home
Mar 2025 Gent(A) 1 - 0 Antwerp Home

In the last 5 meetings, Gent won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Gent — unbeaten run (home)3
Gent — scoring streak (home)0
Antwerp — winless run (away)2
Antwerp — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Gent Win (1)55%
Draw (X)27%
Antwerp Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 45%
38% +1.5 20%
19% +2.5 10%
10% +3.5 10%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 55%
62% -1.5 80%
81% -2.5 90%
90% -3.5 90%
100% -4.5 100%

Gent vs Antwerp — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Gent — scored (home)1.38
Gent — conceded (home)1
Antwerp — scored (away)0.85
Antwerp — conceded (away)1.1
Model expected combined goals2.13

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%
No62%

Rate per Team

Gent — BTTS matches (home)48%
Antwerp — BTTS matches (away)30%
Combined (simple average)39%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.583%
Under 6.517%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Gent (home)

Corners for4.9
Corners against5.2

Antwerp (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Gent
6 6 13 13 6
Antwerp
10 7 12 14 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.586%
Under 1.514%
Over 2.561%
Under 2.539%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Gent (home)

For1.7

Antwerp (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Gent — total shots (home)14.2
Antwerp — total shots (away)10.9

Shots on Target

Gent — on target (home)3.8
Antwerp — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Gent

Inside the box8.61
Outside the box4.12

Antwerp

Inside the box7.53
Outside the box4.58

Player Shots Gent

W. Kanga
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Dean
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target22%
O. Gandelman
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target17%
B. Goore
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Ito
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Antwerp

V. Janssen
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target23%
F. Adekami
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target19%
G. Kerk
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target7%
C. Scott
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Valencia
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Gent xG (home)1.46
Antwerp xG (away)1.29

Average Possession

49.22% Possession 49.38%

Team Comparison Gent vs Antwerp

80.63% Pass accuracy 77.58%
428.1 Passes per match 386.08
-0.05 Goals prevented 0.15
10.17 Fouls committed 12.8
3.59 Goalkeeper saves 3.38
1.95 Offsides 2.88
14.2 Tackles per match 19.83

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Gent vs Antwerp prediction analysis

Review Gent vs Antwerp with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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