Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Gent vs Genk

Gent vs Genk prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2025-11-09 17:30
Gent
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Genk
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
24%
2
25%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Gent (Home)

Goals scored / match1.38
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate48%

Genk (Away)

Goals scored / match1.48
Goals conceded / match1.48
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

Gent
DLDDD
Genk
DWDDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 81%
38% +1.5 48%
19% +2.5 10%
10% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
48% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

Gent averages 1.38 goals scored at home, while Genk averages 1.48 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
24%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Gent 0 - 0 Genk Draw
Mar 2026 Gent(A) 0 - 3 Genk Away
Nov 2025 Gent 1 - 1 Genk Draw
May 2025 Gent 1 - 4 Genk Away
Mar 2025 Gent(A) 0 - 4 Genk Away

In the last 5 meetings, Gent won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Gent — unbeaten run (home)3
Gent — scoring streak (home)0
Genk — winless run (away)1
Genk — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Gent Win (1)51%
Draw (X)24%
Genk Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 81%
38% +1.5 48%
19% +2.5 10%
10% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 19%
62% -1.5 52%
81% -2.5 90%
90% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

Gent vs Genk — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Gent — scored (home)1.38
Gent — conceded (home)1
Genk — scored (away)1.48
Genk — conceded (away)1.48
Model expected combined goals2.86

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Gent — BTTS matches (home)48%
Genk — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)59.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.572%
Under 7.528%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.541%
Under 9.559%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Gent (home)

Corners for4.9
Corners against5.2

Genk (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Gent
6 6 13 13 6
Genk
9 9 14 8 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.569%
Under 2.531%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Gent (home)

For1.7

Genk (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Gent — total shots (home)14.2
Genk — total shots (away)13.4

Shots on Target

Gent — on target (home)3.8
Genk — on target (away)5.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Gent

Inside the box8.61
Outside the box4.12

Genk

Inside the box10.12
Outside the box5.95

Player Shots Gent

W. Kanga
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Dean
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target22%
O. Gandelman
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target17%
B. Goore
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Ito
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Genk

Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target35%
A. Bibout
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target19%
D. Heymans
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target19%
K. Karetsas
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target21%
A. Yokoyama
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target22%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Gent xG (home)1.46
Genk xG (away)1.59

Average Possession

49.22% Possession 58.07%

Team Comparison Gent vs Genk

80.63% Pass accuracy 84.85%
428.1 Passes per match 518.93
-0.05 Goals prevented 0.08
10.17 Fouls committed 10.88
3.59 Goalkeeper saves 2.95
1.95 Offsides 1.98
14.2 Tackles per match 17.51

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Gent vs Genk prediction analysis

Review Gent vs Genk with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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