What markets are included in the Getafe vs Atletico Madrid prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Getafe vs Atletico Madrid prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Getafe vs Atletico Madrid

Getafe vs Atletico Madrid prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-11-23 17:30

Getafe

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

35%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Atletico Madrid

Away

Prediction Summary

38%

30%

32%

Under 2.5

65%

BTTS No

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Getafe (Home)

Goals scored / match0.95

Goals conceded / match0.84

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate32%

Atletico Madrid (Away)

Goals scored / match1.21

Goals conceded / match1.42

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Getafe

WLWDL

Atletico Madrid

LWWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 84%

32% +1.5 32%

5% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

32% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 35%. Model confidence is Medium.

Getafe averages 0.95 goals scored at home, while Atletico Madrid averages 1.21 goals scored away.

Model Strength

65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

38%

Draw

30%

Away Win

32%

Over 2.5

35%

BTTS Yes

42%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Getafe(A) 0 - 1 Atletico Madrid Away

Nov 2025 Getafe 0 - 1 Atletico Madrid Away

Mar 2025 Getafe 2 - 1 Atletico Madrid Home

Feb 2025 Getafe(A) 0 - 5 Atletico Madrid Away

Dec 2024 Getafe(A) 0 - 1 Atletico Madrid Away

In the last 5 meetings, Getafe won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Getafe — unbeaten run (home)2

Getafe — scoring streak (home)2

Atletico Madrid — winless run (away)1

Atletico Madrid — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Getafe Win (1)38%

Draw (X)30%

Atletico Madrid Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 84%

32% +1.5 32%

5% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 16%

68% -1.5 68%

95% -2.5 95%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Getafe vs Atletico Madrid — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Getafe — scored (home)0.95

Getafe — conceded (home)0.84

Atletico Madrid — scored (away)1.21

Atletico Madrid — conceded (away)1.42

Model expected combined goals2.1

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%

No58%

Rate per Team

Getafe — BTTS matches (home)32%

Atletico Madrid — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.564%

Under 7.536%

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.540%

Under 9.560%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Getafe (home)

Corners for4.2

Corners against3.8

Atletico Madrid (away)

Corners for5.2

Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Getafe

5 10 6 4 6

Atletico Madrid

8 10 12 17 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.587%

Under 2.513%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Getafe (home)

For2.4

Atletico Madrid (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Getafe — total shots (home)8.9

Atletico Madrid — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

Getafe — on target (home)2.9

Atletico Madrid — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Getafe

Inside the box5.58

Outside the box3.66

Atletico Madrid

Inside the box9.13

Outside the box3.97

Player Shots Getafe

M. Satriano

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target17%

L. Vázquez

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target12%

M. Arambarri

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target8%

Borja Mayoral

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target0%

Adrian Liso

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Atletico Madrid

A. Sørloth

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target31%

J. Álvarez

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target24%

N. González

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target29%

A. Griezmann

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target15%

G. Simeone

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Getafe xG (home)0.79

Atletico Madrid xG (away)1.55

Average Possession

40.08% Possession 53.32%

Team Comparison Getafe vs Atletico Madrid

68.08% Pass accuracy 84.95%

286.84 Passes per match 505.37

0.08 Goals prevented 0.13

15.21 Fouls committed 11.18

3.11 Goalkeeper saves 2.55

2.39 Offsides 2.19

18.05 Tackles per match 17.03

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Getafe vs Atletico Madrid prediction analysis

Review Getafe vs Atletico Madrid with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights